The 2026 FIFA World Cup in the US, Canada, and Mexico has entered the knockout stage, driving global prediction markets to new heights. As the first centralized exchange to integrate the decentralized prediction platform Polymarket, Gate has continuously launched multi-tiered prediction events and reward mechanisms since completing the integration in March 2026. For users interested in prediction markets, knowing which events are available, what extra rewards can be earned, and how to participate is the first step to maximizing their involvement.
Overview of Prediction Market Activities and Prize Pool Scale
Gate has rolled out a series of themed activities centered around the 2026 World Cup, under the banner "Pitch Prophet: World Cup Prediction Carnival Season." The event runs from June 4, 2026, at 08:00 UTC to July 21, 2026, at 08:00 UTC, covering the entire tournament. The total prize pool exceeds 500,000 USDT, spanning rewards from beginner experiences to deep engagement.
The Gate prediction market reward system is structured into four main tiers: Daily Featured Match Challenge, New User Exclusive Perks, Sunshine Prize Pool, and Leaderboard Competition. Each tier has different participation thresholds and reward formats, allowing users to select the pathway that best matches their trading experience and level of involvement.
Daily Featured Match Predictions: Rewards for Participation, No Need for Correct Forecasts
The Daily Featured Match Prediction is one of Gate’s most accessible activities, with the broadest coverage and the lowest entry barrier. Throughout the World Cup, Gate has selected 35 featured matches as designated challenges, each with a 1,000 USDT prize pool, totaling 35,000 USDT in rewards.
Core rules are as follows:
After registering for the event, users who participate in the featured match prediction of the day and reach a trading volume of at least 50 USDT will receive a 10 USDT reward.
Importantly, prediction results do not affect eligibility for rewards—whether your prediction is correct or not, as long as you complete a qualifying prediction trade, you can claim the reward. This mechanism significantly lowers the psychological barrier to entry, allowing more users to experience prediction markets with minimal risk.
However, rewards are limited: Only the first 100 users each day can claim them, first come, first served; each user can earn up to 200 USDT in total. Rewards are distributed weekly. For users looking to reliably claim daily rewards, early participation is key.
As the tournament progresses, Gate has extended the activity to cover the Round of 16 and Quarterfinals. For example, the quarterfinal featured matches launched on July 9 offer a total of 4,000 USDT across four key games. The pace of the event aligns with the World Cup schedule, with each knockout stage featured match presenting a unique reward opportunity.
New User Exclusive Perks: Unlock Rewards on First Participation
For users new to Gate’s prediction market, the platform offers a dedicated entry reward channel.
During the event, new users participating in Gate’s prediction market for the first time who complete any World Cup featured match prediction with a trading volume of at least 20 USDT will receive a 10 USDT new user reward.
This reward is also limited: Only the first 1,000 eligible new users can claim it, first come, first served. Note that the new user reward cannot be combined with the Daily Featured Match Prediction reward (Benefit 1). New users should choose the most suitable reward path based on their situation when participating for the first time.
This mechanism is designed to lower the entry cost for newcomers—20 USDT trading threshold is much lower than the standard 50 USDT requirement, making it easier for beginners to try prediction markets with a smaller capital outlay.
Sunshine Prize: Higher Cumulative Trading, Greater Rewards
Beyond daily and new user rewards, Gate has established the Sunshine Prize Pool for all active participants.
During the event, users who accumulate at least 500 USDT in World Cup prediction trading volume will automatically qualify to share the 5,000 USDT prize pool.
Distribution is based on the proportion of each eligible user’s cumulative World Cup prediction trading volume—the higher your trading volume, the greater your reward. This means the reward amount is not fixed, but directly tied to your level of engagement.
The Sunshine Prize is designed to encourage sustained participation rather than one-off trades, complementing the daily challenge—one rewards frequency, the other rewards cumulative volume.
Leaderboard Competition: Accurate Predictions Bring Greater Returns
For users with strong analytical skills, Gate has launched a leaderboard competition based on prediction accuracy.
The Gate World Cup Prediction King Tournament is now live, with users competing on the leaderboard for a share of the 100,000 USDT prize pool. Users make predictions in the Gate Polymarket World Cup section, and correct predictions earn points based on payout multipliers. Points are calculated as: Points = (Payout Multiplier - 1) × 100.
The leaderboard is divided into Match Predictions and Fun Bets, each with a 50,000 USDT prize pool. Users can participate in both leaderboards simultaneously, with prediction categories including match winners, total goals, champion, Golden Boot winner, and finalists.
Unlike the "participation reward" mechanism, leaderboard competition rewards are directly linked to prediction accuracy—the more accurate your predictions and the higher the payout multiplier, the faster your points accumulate and the higher your ranking. This mechanism is ideal for users who have in-depth knowledge of the tournament.
Note for leaderboard participation: Users must register on the event page before their trades count toward points. Points are calculated based on actual returns, whether you sell early or hold until settlement. The event runs until July 21, 2026, at 08:00 UTC.
Community Engagement Rewards: Posting and Live Interaction
In addition to rewards from prediction trading, Gate offers extra incentives through community engagement channels.
Gate Square has launched the "World Cup Champion Prediction" posting and check-in activity, running from July 7, 2026, at 09:00 UTC to July 12, 2026, at 16:00 UTC. Users can post with the #世界杯冠军预测 tag or join related discussions in Gate Square to win daily rewards. New users can earn 20 USDT for their first post, and consecutive check-ins can accumulate up to 300 USDT.
Additionally, adding "World Cup Prediction" to your live stream title and discussing related topics can earn extra promotional exposure and live room airdrops. Live interaction rewards are independent from prediction trading rewards, so users can participate in both.
Participation Process and Reward Claim Guidelines
To participate in the latest Gate prediction market activities, follow these standard steps:
Step 1: Log in to your Gate account, go to the event page, and click "Join Now" to register. Note: Trades made before registration will not qualify for event rewards.
Step 2: Complete identity verification (KYC). Users who have not completed KYC cannot claim event rewards.
Step 3: Enter the Gate prediction market (App Home → Alpha → Polymarket), select a World Cup featured match, and make your prediction.
Step 4: Complete a qualifying prediction trade (minimum 20 USDT for new users, minimum 50 USDT for daily challenges).
Step 5: Wait for settlement and reward distribution. Rewards will be credited to user accounts within 14 business days after the event ends.
Reward Format Explanation: All rewards for this event are issued as "Prediction Market Experience Vouchers," which cannot be withdrawn directly and are only for use in platform prediction market trading. Profits generated from using experience vouchers in predictions can be withdrawn. Experience vouchers have a validity period, and unused vouchers will automatically expire.
Trading Volume Calculation: Prediction market trading volume = Buy Yes shares transaction amount + Buy No shares transaction amount + secondary market sell transaction amount, all denominated in USDT.
Summary
Gate’s prediction market has built a multi-tiered reward system around the 2026 World Cup. From the fixed 10 USDT daily featured match reward, to the 10 USDT exclusive new user perk, the 5,000 USDT proportionally distributed Sunshine Prize Pool, and the 100,000 USDT leaderboard competition prize pool, users at all levels of engagement can find suitable reward pathways.
Key Takeaways:
- Daily Challenge: Trade ≥ 50 USDT to earn 10 USDT, first 100 users per day, max 200 USDT per user, reward eligibility not affected by prediction outcome
- New User Perk: First participation with trade ≥ 20 USDT earns 10 USDT, limited to first 1,000 users
- Sunshine Prize: Cumulative trade ≥ 500 USDT automatically qualifies for prize pool, rewards distributed based on trading volume share
- Leaderboard Competition: Points based on prediction accuracy and payout multiplier, two leaderboards with 50,000 USDT prize pool each
- Community Engagement: Posting and live interaction can earn additional rewards
Before participating, make sure to: complete event page registration, pass identity verification, understand the rules and validity of experience vouchers. All activities have limited spots and time windows, so users are advised to plan their participation strategy early.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Q1: Do I need to pay gas fees to participate in Gate prediction market activities?
No. Gate prediction market uses wallet offline signatures for order placement, and the system covers network fees. Users do not need to pay extra gas fees.
Q2: How are rewards settled after a correct prediction?
The prediction market uses a binary settlement mechanism. When a prediction is correct, shares settle 1:1 to stablecoins and are credited directly to the user’s spot account. Users can claim winnings from multiple events with one click on the asset page.
Q3: Can I earn both Daily Featured Match Prediction rewards and Leaderboard rewards?
Yes. Daily Featured Match Prediction rewards and Leaderboard Competition rewards are separate activity systems; users can participate in both and claim respective rewards. However, Daily Featured Match Prediction rewards (Benefit 1) and New User rewards (Benefit 2) cannot be combined.
Q4: Can Prediction Market Experience Vouchers be withdrawn?
No, they cannot be withdrawn directly. Experience vouchers can only be used for platform prediction market trading, but profits generated from predictions using experience vouchers can be withdrawn. Vouchers have a validity period, and unused vouchers will automatically expire.
Q5: Can sub-accounts participate in prediction market activities?
No. Sub-accounts, market maker accounts, corporate accounts, institutional accounts, and agent accounts are not eligible for prediction market activities. Multiple accounts under the same verified user are considered a single account.
Q6: If a match is postponed or canceled, how are predictions handled?
If there is a postponement, cancellation, rescheduling, interruption, penalty change, market closure, or other force majeure events, Gate reserves the right to adjust, suspend, or cancel relevant markets and activity rewards as appropriate. Specific handling will be based on the Gate prediction market page and actual settlement results.
