Mt. Gox Repayments

The early bird catches the worm. 😋 Rise early and leave work early.

$I'm coming, I like this coin... This really might be wiped out.

#CryptoRegulationNewProgress Growth Value New Year Lottery Vol.16: How Discipline Turns Into Rewards 🌏The 16th edition of the Growth Value New Year Lottery isn’t just a seasonal giveaway—it’s a smart incentive engine designed to reward consistent user engagement while strengthening the Gate ecosystem. Unlike traditional lotteries based purely on luck, this campaign blends strategy, persistence, and community activity, giving proactive users a meaningful advantage. At its core, this lottery converts routine engagement into tangible benefits. Every post, comment, and like on Gate’s Plaza earns growth points, which act as your “currency” for lottery eligibility. Reaching 300 points enters you into the lottery pool. This system encourages real, organic participation while discouraging spam or low-quality activity. Users who consistently contribute naturally gain an edge over one-off participants. Prizes are designed to motivate both high-engagement and casual users. Top items like the iPhone 17 create excitement, while smaller rewards—including tokens, GT incentives, and exclusive New Year merchandise—keep everyone engaged. This mix drives long-term participation, reinforces awareness of assets like #BTC, #ETH, and #GT, and encourages meaningful interaction without forcing trades or purchases. Timing and strategy matter. The lottery runs from January 21, 16:00 to January 31, 24:00 (UTC+8). Users who pace their engagement gradually have a clear advantage over those rushing at the last minute. Early participation not only secures eligibility but also boosts visibility in the Plaza, setting the stage for future campaigns. For creators, this lottery is more than a chance to win. Each interaction strengthens account history, algorithmic visibility, and eligibility for future events. Engagement is cumulative—consistent activity builds recognition, translating into both short-term rewards and long-term opportunities within the Gate community. Participation is simple. Access the main activity page, review the official rules, and aim for 300 growth points by posting thoughtfully, commenting meaningfully, and liking posts consistently. Discipline and consistency are far more effective than sporadic bursts of activity. Unlike traditional lotteries, Vol.16 rewards strategy and presence over pure luck. Even if you don’t claim the top prize, your points and visibility compound over time, improving your readiness for future events. Those who start early understand platform dynamics, identify high-engagement areas in the Plaza, and optimize their participation, gaining both cumulative points and confidence. Avoid common pitfalls. Waiting until the final days makes it harder to reach 300 points with meaningful contributions. Low-quality or repetitive posts may yield points, but they don’t build lasting presence or credibility. Strategic, authentic engagement separates top performers from the rest. This campaign also benefits the broader ecosystem. Organic interactions help Gate strengthen its platform, foster collaboration, and encourage constructive contributions—benefiting creators, traders, and casual users alike. Thoughtful posts, meaningful comments, and strategic likes amplify your presence, delivering both immediate points and long-term visibility. Final Take: The Growth Value New Year Lottery Vol.16 rewards discipline, consistency, and presence. Active participants maximize their chances not only of winning valuable prizes but also of building credibility and recognition within the Gate community. Early engagement sets momentum for 2026, positioning you to benefit from both lotteries and broader ecosystem opportunities. Conclusion: Show up, engage, and win. The more consistent your participation, the higher your growth points, and the stronger your presence in Gate’s growing community. Make 2026 a year of strategic engagement and tangible rewards!

#CryptoMarketWatch The crypto market is currently experiencing significant downward pressure and heightened volatility as we enter early February 2026. The overall sentiment is bearish, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index hovering in the "Extreme Fear" zone (around 14-26 in recent readings), reflecting widespread caution, liquidations, and reduced risk appetite among traders and institutions. Bitcoin (BTC) Overview Bitcoin, the market leader, is trading around $77,000–$78,000 USD (with recent lows dipping below $77,000 and highs briefly testing near $79,000 in volatile sessions). This represents a sharp pullback from earlier highs near $90,000–$100,000 attempted in late January/early 2026. Price Percentage Change: Down approximately 2-6% in the last 24 hours across sources, with broader weekly/monthly declines of 10-15% or more from recent peaks. Volume and Liquidity: 24-hour trading volume remains elevated during sell-offs (often $50B+ for BTC alone), but overall spot volumes have contracted significantly compared to 2025 peaks (e.g., January 2026 spot volumes halved year-over-year in some reports). Liquidity has thinned, especially during off-hours (e.g., weekends/Asia sessions), amplifying price swings. Volatility: Extremely high, with rapid drops triggering massive liquidations (e.g., $600M–$800M+ in BTC-related futures liquidations in single events). The market has seen repeated whipsaws, with failed rebounds and tests of key supports around $75,000–$80,000. Trends and Rebounds: No strong rebound yet; price has failed to hold above $85,000 support recently, leading to capitulation-style selling. Some analysts note potential stabilization if ETF outflows slow and macro conditions (e.g., Fed signals) improve, with historical February patterns showing average +14% returns for BTC—though current momentum suggests caution. Bitcoin dominance sits around 59%, indicating limited altcoin rotation so far. Ethereum (ETH) Overview Ethereum is under even heavier pressure, trading around $2,290–$2,300 USD (with lows near $2,200–$2,250 in recent dumps). Price Percentage Change: Down 5-9% in the last 24 hours, with steeper losses over the past week/month (e.g., 20-25%+ declines vs. BTC in some periods). ETH/BTC ratio has weakened, showing underperformance. Volume and Liquidity: High liquidation volumes (e.g., $900M+ in ETH futures in major events), contributing to cascading sells. Trading activity spikes during volatility but overall liquidity feels strained. Volatility: Very elevated, often outpacing BTC in percentage drops due to leverage unwinds. Trends and Rebounds: ETH has hit multi-month lows, with weak ETF flows and whale accumulation near supports offering some hope for a base. However, no clear rebound has materialized yet; key resistances loom at $2,500–$3,000. February historically favors gains (~15% median), but current macro headwinds dominate. Altcoins Performance Altcoins are broadly bleeding, with many down 5-12%+ in recent sessions amid the BTC/ETH drag. Major ones like Solana (SOL ~$100–$102), BNB, XRP, Cardano (ADA), and others have seen double-digit percentage drops in volatile periods. Altcoin Season Index: Low (e.g., Bitcoin season dominant at ~23-29), with altcoin market cap (ex-BTC/ETH) grinding lower since late 2024 peaks (down ~44%+ through 2025 into now). Capital rotation into alts remains limited, though some signs of early shifts if BTC dominance dips further below 55-59%. Trends: A prolonged altcoin bear market persists, with median tokens down heavily. Selective outperformers exist in niches, but overall, alts amplify downside in risk-off environments. Total Crypto Market Market Cap: Around $2.6–$2.7 trillion (down 5-6%+ in major single-day drops). Overall Volume: Spikes to hundreds of billions during crashes (e.g., $400B+ in 24h periods), but spot volumes cooling from 2025 highs. Liquidity and Liquidations: Massive leverage purges (e.g., $1.7B–$2.6B+ in single days, mostly longs), driven by thin liquidity, macro fears (Fed pauses, geopolitical tensions, tariffs), and ETF outflows (e.g., $1B+ in recent sessions). This creates vicious cycles of forced selling. Gold and Silver (Traditional Safe Havens Comparison) Precious metals have also faced sharp corrections recently, mirroring risk-off across assets. Gold: Spot/futures around $4,700–$5,000/oz (down significantly from recent highs near $5,400–$5,600, with daily drops of 5-10%+ in volatile sessions). Silver: Around $80–$98/oz (even steeper declines, e.g., 10-16%+ drops reported). Both saw rare large plunges, likely tied to broader market deleveraging and shifting macro narratives (e.g., interest rate expectations). Crypto's correlation to risk assets has shown up here, with no clear safe-haven decoupling. Broader Discussion: Trends, Volatility, and Outlook The market is in a high-volatility, risk-off phase post-late-2025 highs, with leverage flush-outs, institutional rebalancing, and macro/geopolitical pressures (Fed leadership changes, tariffs, etc.) dominating. Rebounds remain weak and unsustainable so far, with "Extreme Fear" readings often preceding local bottoms historically—but no capitulation climax yet. Watch for: Stabilization in volumes and ETF flows. Key supports holding (BTC ~$75k, ETH ~$2,100–$2,200). Potential February historical bullishness if macro eases. This is a volatile reset, not necessarily the end of longer-term upside narratives (e.g., institutional adoption, ETFs). Trade cautiously—leverage is getting punished hard right now. Stay tuned for macro updates! Practical Wisdom for Traders (What Traders Should Apply Right Now) In this Extreme Fear environment with cascading liquidations, high volatility, and thin liquidity, here's that experienced traders follow to survive and potentially thrive—focus on discipline over emotions: Protect Your Capital First (Risk Management is King): Never risk more than 1-2% of your total portfolio on any single trade. Use tight stop-losses, avoid high leverage (especially in futures/perps where liquidations are brutal), and maintain sufficient margin to weather whipsaws. In extreme fear, leverage gets wiped out fast—go low or no leverage until volatility cools. Stick to Your Pre-Defined Plan – No Emotional Trades: Separate analysis time from trading time. Don't react impulsively to red candles or FUD. Ask: "What actually changed fundamentally?" before acting. Emotions like panic-selling at bottoms destroy accounts—follow your rules religiously. Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) for Accumulation: Instead of trying to catch the exact bottom (impossible in volatility), buy fixed amounts regularly into strong assets (BTC/ETH primarily) on dips. Extreme Fear often signals undervaluation historically—patient accumulation during fear has led to big gains when sentiment flips. Focus on Fundamentals & Quality Assets: Stick to projects with real utility, strong teams, and adoption (avoid hype coins). Diversify thoughtfully but don't overdo it—concentrate on BTC dominance plays or blue-chip alts. In bear resets, quality survives. Avoid FOMO/FUD Traps – Use Sentiment as Contrarian Signal: Extreme Fear (like now at 14-26) has historically been a buy zone for long-term holders, as markets are oversold. But don't go all-in—scale in gradually. Conversely, don't chase short squeezes without confirmation. Hedging & Defensive Plays (If Advanced): Consider hedging with options, shorting over-leveraged alts, or moving to stablecoins/USDT during peak panic to preserve value. But for most, just holding cash or reducing exposure is smarter than complex hedges. Stay Informed but Limit Screen Time: Monitor macro (Fed, geopolitics) and key levels, but take breaks to avoid burnout. Use tools like liquidation heatmaps to anticipate cascades, but don't trade every signal. Mindfulness & Discipline: Practice observing emotions without acting—fear is temporary, bad decisions are permanent. Journal trades, review what worked/failed, and build resilience. Bottom line: In this phase, survival beats greed. Protect downside, accumulate smartly on weakness, and wait for stabilization signs (e.g., lower liquidation volumes, ETF inflows returning). Many pros view extreme fear as opportunity disguised as pain—stay calm, trade small, and position for the eventual rebound. You've got this! 🚀📉 Stay strong,

2.2 Morning Viewpoint (Recommend 3%, 100x leverage, total position not exceeding 5%): ETH Short: Insert a spike around 2382 to short, stop loss at 2412, no take profit. ETH Long: Insert a spike near 2202 to go long, stop loss at 2172, no take profit. Remarks (Below distinguish between monitoring orders and pending orders; monitoring orders that sleep should have take profit): 1. Do not over-leverage, test with small positions, set proper stop losses, avoid getting trapped, find good opportunities to trade, otherwise you won't have the face to go home for the New Year.