According to Odaily Seer monitoring, Polymarket has launched a new prediction market asking whether the U.S. and Iran can reach a permanent peace agreement before Trump’s visit to China. The current probability of reaching such an agreement stands at 7%. The market will resolve as “yes” if the two countries sign or formally confirm a qualified peace agreement before Trump travels to China, otherwise resolving as “no.” The market will also resolve as “no” if neither outcome occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time.
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