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Prediction Market Traders Forecast Strait of Hormuz Shipping Unlikely to Recover in 2026, 65.5% Probability Through January 2027

GateNews
Prediction Market
According to CNBC, prediction market traders forecast on June 8 that Strait of Hormuz shipping is unlikely to recover to normal levels throughout 2026. On prediction market platforms, the probability of the waterway remaining disrupted through January 2027 stands at 65.5%, while the odds of recovery by August 2026 have dropped sharply from over 60% two weeks ago to 21.5%, reflecting deepening concerns over prolonged maritime disruption amid regional tensions.
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