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[Price Trend Analysis]
K-line pattern:
On the 4-hour chart, a long lower shadow tested the 2900 support level (11/25 08:00), but the subsequent bearish candlestick's body engulfed the previous bullish candlestick's rebound range, indicating selling pressure above 2950.
The daily line has pulled back after rising for 2 consecutive days (highest on 11/24 at 2987 → closed at 2953, dropped from 2953 to 2911 on 11/25), forming a short-term top structure.
Technical Indicators:
MACD: 4-hour DIF(2.17) and DEA(-24.18) have flattened after a golden cross, with the red bars shortening; the daily double lines remain deep below the zero axis(-236/-235), and the weakness persists.
RSI: The 1-hour RSI (55) has quickly retreated from the overbought zone of 70, while the 4-hour RSI (55) is neutral to strong but has not broken through the 60 strength boundary.
EMA: The price has fallen below the 4-hour EMA7(2889), and the 120-day moving average (3167) is under significant high-level pressure, with a clear bearish arrangement of short, medium, and long-term moving averages.
Trading Volume:
On 11/24, after a surge of 228,000 transactions to a high of 2979, it failed to hold steady. The next day saw a decrease in volume to 51,000 transactions, presenting a weak combination of "increased volume with stagnation + decreased volume with a pullback."
The buy orders near the key integer level of 2900 are sparse (the lowest K-line in the last 4 hours is 2908, showing only a slight rebound), raising doubts about the strength of the support.
[Buy/Sell Points]
Buy point 1: 2880 USDT (the support level of the 4-hour EMA30 at 2871 resonates with the round number 2880, and as long as the previous low of 2842 is not broken, a rebound can be expected)
Buy point two: 2850 USDT (a key defense zone above the previous low of 2842 on the daily chart, with a 1% space below 2900 meeting the interval requirement)
Long stop loss point: 2835 USDT (falls below the previous low of 2842 and is lower than the buying point of 15 USDT, satisfying the stop loss distance of less than 50% of the buying interval)
Sell point 1: 2950 USDT (4-hour level triple top pattern neck line, 11/25 high point 2953 verifies selling pressure)
Sell Point Two: 2980 USDT (Daily line long upper shadow resistance at 2987, add short position after breaking 2950)
Short stop-loss point: 3005 USDT (standing above the 3000 round number + 18 USDT above the previous wave high point of 2987, in line with risk control rules) #反弹币种推荐