#BTC能否守住6.5万美元？ Based on market data as of March 31, 2026, Ethereum's current price ranges between $2,017 and $2,036, with intraday gains of 1.49%-2.13%, but a weekly decline of 5.78%, overall oscillating around the psychological level of $2,000.

Market analysis key points:

1. Technical: Price fluctuates between $1,970 and $2,100, with $2,000 serving as the dividing line between bulls and bears. The 50-period moving average has turned upward to support, but resistance remains strong at $2,080-$2,100.
2. Capital flow: In the past 24 hours, the entire market experienced liquidations totaling $335.52 million, with Ethereum longs accounting for over 40%, indicating crowded leveraged positions.
3. On-chain data: Whales are accumulating against the trend, with Ethereum wallet company BitMine Immersion purchasing 71,179 ETH last week.
4. Macro: Middle East tensions have pushed oil prices above $110, Fed rate hike expectations are rising, suppressing risk assets.

Operational strategy suggestions:

- Conservative strategy: Mainly observe, wait for a break above $2,100 resistance or below $2,000 support before taking action.
- Aggressive strategy:
- Short positions: Enter light shorts on rebounds to $2,080-$2,100, with a stop loss above $2,136, targeting $2,000-$2,020.
- Long positions: Enter light longs on dips to $1,970-$2,000, with a stop loss at $1,934, targeting $2,080-$2,100.

Risk warning: If key support at $1,934 breaks, it could trigger $1.128 billion in long liquidations; if key resistance at $2,136 is broken, it could trigger $924 million in short liquidations. It is recommended to operate with small positions and strictly set stop losses. $ETH