#四月行情预测 According to the latest market data as of April 1, 2026, Bitcoin's current price is approximately $68,200-$68,500, up 1.5%-2.7% over the past 24 hours, successfully reclaiming the $68,000 level.

Core driving factors: Signs of easing tensions between the US and Iran are the main catalysts. The Iranian president expressed willingness to end the conflict, and Trump also signaled willingness to negotiate. The fading of geopolitical risk premiums has driven a rebound in risk assets.

Technical analysis: BTC rebounded from the $65,000 support level, with a bullish daily candle, and short-term moving averages showing a bullish alignment. The MACD indicator shows a golden cross below the zero line, and the RSI is near neutral at around 48, indicating weakening short-term downward momentum. However, the weekly and monthly charts remain in a downtrend, and the medium-term bearish pattern has not been broken.

Key levels:

- Support levels: $66,000 (primary support), $65,000-$65,500 (strong support)
- Resistance levels: $68,500-$68,800 (intraday resistance), $70,000 (psychological level)

Market sentiment: The Fear & Greed Index is only at 7, in the extreme fear zone, indicating fragile market confidence.

Trading strategies:

1. Short-term bullish: Light long positions in the $67,000-$67,500 range, targeting $68,500-$70,000, with a stop loss at $65,500.
2. Short-term bearish: Light short positions in the $68,500-$68,800 resistance zone, targeting $67,000-$66,000, with a stop loss at $69,500.
3. Medium-term outlook: Wait for a confirmed breakout above $70,000 or a breakdown below $65,000 before making directional decisions.

Risk warning: The current rebound is mainly driven by the futures market, with Bitcoin spot net outflows of approximately $39.8 million over the past 24 hours, lacking genuine buying support. Geopolitical news can be volatile, so be cautious of potential price pullbacks. $BTC