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The Federal Reserve held steady as expected, and “Wash” passed the review right on the line—short positions are paying off nicely! 4.30 Bitcoin Auntie’s thought process
The Federal Reserve kept the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% as scheduled, holding for the third consecutive meeting, in line with market expectations. Wash also smoothly cleared the U.S. Senate Banking Committee’s review, taking another step closer to officially taking office as the Federal Reserve Chair. A “blonde” wrote on social media that Powell wants to stay at the Fed because he can’t find a job elsewhere—no one is willing to hire him. Yesterday’s short idea nailed the target—if you followed the Bitcoin plan, you could take down nearly 3,000 points; if you followed Ethereum, you could grab over 100 points of upside—following the shorts again and you’re still getting your fill!
On the daily chart, Bitcoin and Ethereum both have three consecutive bearish candles. This morning, they printed a bearish candle with a relatively long upper wick; the bearish momentum is getting stronger. Combined with Iran’s fierce criticism of the U.S. over its Strait of Hormuz blockade action yesterday, which will be retaliated against soon, it’s still best not to chase the rally blindly for now—keep the intraday rebound short-selling approach unchanged!
4.30 Short Position Strategy
For Bitcoin: sell short on the rebound at 76300-76700. For a more conservative entry, sell short at 77200-77700; set a defense level around 78500. Targets to watch are 75500-75000-74500. If it breaks down, watch around 74000-73600-73200. Continue adjusting the stop-loss to protect/secure profit as the situation develops!
For Ethereum: sell short on the rebound at 2280-2320. For a more conservative entry, enter near 2360. Set a defense level around 2400. Targets to watch are 2220-2200-2170. If it breaks down, watch around 2150-2130-2100. Continue adjusting the stop-loss to protect/secure profit as the situation develops!
4.30 Long Position Strategy
For Bitcoin: buy on a pullback at 72800-73200, one lot. Defense level is around 72500. Targets to watch are 74000-74500-75000. If it breaks down, watch around 75500-76000-76500.
For Ethereum: buy on a pullback at 2100-2130, one lot. Defense level is around 2070. Targets to watch are 2170-2200-2250. If it breaks down, watch around 2280-2300.
After Bitcoin breaks through 75000, it slowly pulls back. Ethereum is still holding near the 2200 line. The market’s messages are basically not enough to lift the price, so you can stick to the rebound short-selling-focused approach! May Day is coming soon—these past few days’ short gains have been great, so you can have a good holiday! #美联储利率不变但内部分歧加剧