The global market is entering the "Middle East mode"! Who will be the biggest enemy of BTC in the next three months?

What was the biggest fear in the crypto world before?
The Federal Reserve.
Now it's different.
Now everyone's biggest fear is:
A sudden Middle East news flash in the early morning.
After the Fuqairah attack incident, the global market re-enters the "geopolitical-driven mode."
Oil prices surged to $114.
Risk assets collectively fluctuate.
Trump's "Freedom Plan" was forced to pause, and the market begins to reassess future trends.
Why does this matter so much?
Because oil prices are no longer just an energy issue.
They are also:
An inflation issue.
A interest rate issue.
An economic issue.
And BTC happens to be at the forefront of all risk asset sentiment chains.
When liquidity is loose, it’s the strongest.
When liquidity is tight, it’s also the most volatile.
So in the next three months, BTC’s biggest enemy is not actually the bears.
But:
Persistently high oil prices.
Because as long as oil prices stay high, the Federal Reserve will find it hard to truly shift to easing.
And without easing liquidity, risk assets will find it difficult to sustain a bull run.
So now the global markets are waiting for the Oman negotiations results.
If Iran signals easing, the market will quickly turn Risk On.
BTC, US stocks, and tech stocks could all rebound.
But if negotiations fail, or even more geopolitical escalation occurs, volatility will further amplify.
In this kind of market, who is most likely to lose money?
It’s not those who misjudge the direction.
But:
Those who go all-in gambling their lives.
Because the current market is no longer a problem that can be solved by simple technical analysis.
It’s more like a big clash of global macro and geopolitical forces.
So the only truly mature strategy now is one sentence:
Keep your positions, and don’t fear missing opportunities. #Gate广场五月交易分享