Just thinking about how the whole AI chip narrative has evolved over the past couple months. Nvidia really did soar after that February earnings call, didn't it? The market had been waiting to see if the company could actually deliver on all the hype around their new architectures.



What's interesting is how far ahead they've managed to stay in this race. When you look at the jump from Hopper to Blackwell Ultra, then seeing Rubin come into full production, it's pretty wild. Rubin can train models with 75% fewer GPUs and cuts inference costs by up to 90%. That's the kind of performance gap that keeps enterprises locked in.

The numbers leading up to that report were already massive. Nvidia had pulled in $147.8 billion in revenue through the first three quarters of fiscal 2026, with data centers representing 89% of that. Wall Street was expecting another blowout quarter, and from what we saw, they pretty much delivered. The company tends to beat estimates, which has historically been great for the stock.

What really moved the needle for investors was the guidance around production timelines for Rubin. The fact that they're already shipping to cloud giants like Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet in the second half of the year meant the supply story was actually getting better, not worse. That's rare in this industry.

Looking at the valuation, even after the stock soared, it was still trading at a forward P/E around 40 based on fiscal 2026 earnings estimates. If you factored in analyst expectations for fiscal 2027 earnings growth to $7.66 per share, the upside potential was genuinely compelling. The stock would have needed to soar by 90% just to maintain its then-current multiple.

I think what people underestimated was how dominant Nvidia's position has become. They're not just ahead on performance, they're ahead on production, relationships with the biggest cloud providers, and roadmap visibility. When Jensen Huang talks about the AI industry direction on those earnings calls, people actually listen because he's got better insight than almost anyone else.

The whole thing illustrates why certain companies in this AI wave are positioned to soar while others struggle. It's not just about having good chips, it's about having the best chips, the supply chain to back it up, and the trust of the largest buyers in the world. Nvidia checks all those boxes right now.
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