Just noticed BTC dropped below 80K again, and the wallet data behind this move is actually pretty interesting. Santiment's showing 245K addresses exiting in five days - that's the fastest pace we've seen since mid-2024. On paper that sounds bearish, but context matters here.



Back when we had that capitulation phase in summer 2024, we saw 900K+ wallets leaving over several weeks while price was sitting around 55-65K range. That actually turned into a solid base for the move up later. The difference now is we're already much higher, so profit-taking feels more natural at these levels. Coins are basically consolidating into fewer hands - could be bullish if fresh demand shows up.

The immediate pressure came from macro headwinds and some geopolitical noise that hit risk assets across the board. Over 90 million in longs got liquidated when BTC couldn't hold above 82K, and momentum just broke there. So it's not just wallets leaving - it's leverage unwinding plus broader market caution.

What's worth watching: holder growth has been climbing most of the cycle, but that trend just broke. We've dipped from upper 50 million addresses down to mid-50 million. The key technical level right now is around 78.5K (weekly open). If that holds, we're still in the 78.5-81.5K range. Break below and we're looking at 76-78K territory if sentiment stays shaky.

For bitcoin price prediction going forward, most models are still calling for mid-80s near-term, which would be above current levels. Definitely one of the more cautious views out there right now. The wallet exit is real, but we've seen this movie before - sometimes consolidation just sets up the next move.
BTC0.59%
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