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#sol
$SOL ‌
SOL Review | May 14, 2026
1. Current Market Data
Price and Move
• Last 24h range: $89.83 – $92.33 • Day move: down 0.76% • 7-day build: weak flat path holds near $90 • 24h size: rose while price fell, above mean. Size-backed drop has panic part • Relative run: weak vs BTC. While BTC was flat in last 24h, SOL lagged
Relative Spot
• ATH: If $260 is past peak, price now is 65.1% under • ATL: 1023% above $8.00 cycle low • Market build: Tight zone near $90 mind level stays
2. Chart Study
Trend Build
• 15min – 1H: Pullback to $89.83 base after $92.33 peak. Short-run sell stress is here • 4H: PDI < MDI on DMI tool shows down path. WR -82.57 in oversold zone • Daily: Bollinger Bands widen, swings rise. Close held above 20-day MA • Weekly: Weekly closes above $88.00 keep build. EMA 50 $82.50 is main base
Key Levels
Bases
1. $89.80: 24h low and 4H flat base. First hold zone 2. $88.00: Weekly base and flow pool. Firm level 3. $85.50: Daily EMA 50, a break would deepen sell
Caps
1. $91.50: 4H down trend line, first line to win back 2. $92.33: 24h high, a pass opens path to $94.00 3. $94.00: Daily Bollinger top band and flat cap. Firm level
Tool State
• WR: 4H -82.57, deep oversold. Under -80 counts as low zone, bounce odds rise • DMI: 4H PDI 18, MDI 26. Bear edge in short run but power is weak • Bollinger Bands: Daily bands keep wide. Mid band $90.50, top band $94.20 • Moving Lines: Price near 20-day MA $90.20. MA50 $88.00 base, MA200 $76.00 main trend • RSI: Daily 46, mid zone. Under 40 would lift sell stress • MACD: Daily bars near zero. 4H in down zone, speed is weak
Form and Fib
For the $92.33 – $89.83 drop, Fib 0.382 pullback is $90.78, 0.5 level is $91.08, 0.618 level is $91.37. Hold above $89.80 aims for $91.50 – $92.33 zone. Hourly closes under $89.80 set aims at $88.00 and $85.50. Daily chart shows a tight triangle; a break above $94.00 gives a $101.00 aim

3. On-Chain and Core Study
On-Chain View
• Trade count rose 9% in 24h: Net use is firm though price fell • Big wallet move: 1 transfer above 100K SOL was to sell • Live address count is flat to 7-day mean. User base is firm • Net inflow to hubs: +186K SOL in last 24h. Short-run sell stress sign • Stake rate: 68.2%, high. Locked supply build helps
Core Points
• World TVL: 4.1B, up 1.8% in 7 days. Dev work goes on • Build: Main net speed above 2,800 TPS. No outage in last 60 days • Tokenomics: Rise rate 5.1%. Burn path takes 50% of fees • Large Firm: Fund rate on term bets +0.006% last week, mild up
4. Holder and Market Mood Study
• Broad Market: Fear & Greed Index at 58, “Mid” zone. Risk will is even • SOL Focus: After 0.76% drop, crowd view is flat. Hold above $90 is seen as good • Trade Market: Open trade fell 1.3% in 24h. Lever unwind is low • Peer Look: L1 coins did -0.4% on mean in 24h. SOL at -0.76% lagged a bit • BTC Pair: 0.00113, in last 14-day low zone. Weak run vs BTC stays
5. Risk and Case Study
Up Case
4H WR oversold + close above 20-day MA mix may bring a bounce. Hold above $89.80 and a 4H close above $91.50 sets $92.33 as first goal. If size tops 450M, $94.00 and $96.50 wedge aim may be tried. Short-run room of 3-6% may form. If BTC stays above 80,000, it helps

Down Case
PDI < MDI build and size-backed drop add stress. An hourly close under $89.80 brings a $88.00 test. If $88.00 fails, $85.50 EMA 50 and $82.50 weekly EMA 50 are next. For stop-loss, closes under $89.20 can be used. Risk is 4-8% more down

Main Risk Points
1. 4H DMI down: Short-run sell stress stays 2. Net inflow to hubs: 186K SOL may add more sell 3. Bollinger wide: Swing rise makes spikes sharp 4. BTC pair weak: Even if BTC rises, SOL may lag
Time-Based View
• Short Run: Watch tight zone $89.80 – $92.33. Above $90.20 MA20 brings bounce, under it brings sell • Mid Run: Weekly close above $88.00 keeps build. Above $94.00 starts new trend • Long Run: World growth and stake rate are good. As long as $76.00 MA200 holds, no break
Wrap
SOL fell 0.76% in 24h and ran in the $89.83 – $92.33 band. 4H WR -82.57 shows deep oversold, yet PDI < MDI keeps short-run down build. Daily close held above 20 MA, but size-backed drop hints at panic. If $89.80 holds, $91.50 – $92.33 bounce may come. If it breaks, $88.00 and $85.50 risks are live. Weak run vs BTC goes on.
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