Recently, many people have said that Trump's visit to China caused Bitcoin to drop 30%, will this wave repeat the pattern of "rise first, then fall," and directly drop another 30%?

Today’s market indeed has that feeling, $BTC surged then pulled back, $ETH also started to retrace.
Although I’ve never been a big fan of predicting the "future" solely based on "history," history doesn’t simply repeat itself, but market sentiment often bears astonishing similarities!
➤ Here are a few risk points I think are worth paying attention to right now, sharing with you:
🌟 MicroStrategy’s high dividend pressure
The market currently assumes MSTR will hold BTC indefinitely, but if the 11.5% dividend pressure increases, cash flow tightens, and there’s a possibility of selling coins to pay debts.
🌟 Historical emotional anchor points of Trump’s visit to China
The last time Trump visited China, BTC also surged then crashed, ultimately falling nearly 30%, so many people subconsciously project this script now!
🌟 US stocks hitting new highs, but risks are accumulating
The S&P and Nasdaq keep reaching new highs, but the macro environment isn’t as optimistic as imagined, especially with the AI narrative, which is increasingly resembling the emotional stage of the late internet bubble.
Of course, I am still E’s sentinel, I haven’t reduced my holdings, but instead continue to open spot grid positions.
I personally think a further retracement is possible, but the probability of a sudden 30% crash may not be high!
Opening spot grids is based on the belief that the market is more likely to oscillate for a long time, gradually digesting risks and emotions. Even if it continues to fall, I can accept buying spot at the current price!