I recently realized that the point I am most easily exploited is not due to a lack of technical knowledge, but because my attention is being pulled around. When a hot topic changes, the timeline is all shouting "Smart money is entering the market," and I get itchy, click in to see a few large transfers on the chain, large movements of hot and cold wallets on exchanges, being interpreted as if it’s a script... Honestly, big money moving doesn’t necessarily mean you should move, many times they are just relocating or doing risk control, and if you chase in, you become liquidity.

My current clumsy method: first check if the address has a "habit," whether it follows the same rhythm or if it’s just reused old routines; then see if I’m doing it out of FOMO or because I have real evidence. If I’m not confident, I set a cooling-off period for myself, wait until the next day, and many "inevitable signals" won’t seem so attractive anymore. Anyway, hot topics change too quickly, the more you want to catch every wave, the more likely you are to pay tuition every time. Forget it, I won’t talk anymore, I’ll go update some address labels.