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CryptoZeno

Every 4 year cycle, $BTC dumping by ~30% in the summer



If it repeats, we should wait ~$50K soon
BTC-1.35%
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K-LineSocialAnxiety
· 1h ago
The biggest problem with cycle theory is that everyone knows about cycles, so will the cycle still arrive on time?
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Half-UnderstoodZk
· 1h ago
Every time they say it’s different this time, and every time it’s the same damn thing—people just can’t learn.
View OriginalReply0
0xNoodleSoup
· 1h ago
A four-year cycle is the backdrop, but black swans are also part of the backdrop—having ammunition ready is more reliable than trying to guess the exact trade levels.
View OriginalReply0
CatPawTapToConfirm
· 1h ago
Watching the US stock market's mood is more accurate than watching the cycle. Now BTC's correlation with the Nasdaq is ridiculously high.
View OriginalReply0
Don'tBeACoachForBagholders
· 1h ago
If it really hits 50K, I’ll go all in; if it doesn’t, I’ll just stay put—anyway, I’ve already been stuck in this for more than just a couple of days.
View OriginalReply0
DaoPeripheralWorker
· 1h ago
History does rhyme, but this year's ETF narrative and institutional holdings are completely different. 50K might be a bit too pessimistic.
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GateUser-9076f8b9
· 1h ago
50K is an ideal buying point, but the market is notorious for curing all kinds of idealism.
View OriginalReply0
BluePeonyPlan
· 1h ago
After the halving, the miners' cost line is supported there; the downside space is actually limited, don't scare yourself.
View OriginalReply0
SandwichMev
· 1h ago
There have only been three instances of a 30% drop in summer; those who bet on the fourth are all warriors.
View OriginalReply0
GateUser-fbbc916d
· 1h ago
If you’re one of the estimated 50K people waiting to have the “pin connector” fitted, you can probably line up from Shanghai all the way to Shenzhen—once it actually gets to you, would you still dare to buy?
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