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📊 Looking at the winrate statistics by FGI that I shared earlier, many traders may find it difficult to visualize how to apply that data to their own trading process.
In reality, finding the most suitable TP structure still requires backtesting and fine-tuning based on your setup, timeframe, SL placement, SL adjustment, and exit method. But if what you need is a simple starting guide, here are the minimum TP levels I recommend for each FGI zone:
🤑 Extreme Greed | FGI ≥ 80: TP 1.47R is the breakeven level → Recommended minimum TP: 2.0R
🤤 Greed | FGI 60–80: TP 1.22R is the breakeven level → Recommended minimum TP: 1.7R
😐 Neutral | FGI 40–60: TP 1.21R is the breakeven level → Recommended minimum TP: 1.6R
😨 Fear | FGI 20–40: TP 1.11R is the breakeven level → Recommended minimum TP: 1.4R
😱 Extreme Fear | FGI < 20: TP 0.90R is the breakeven level → Recommended minimum TP: 1.25R
📌 These levels do not mean you must take profit exactly at those numbers. If your method is built around a farther TP expectation, you can absolutely aim higher, but you need to accept one fact: the farther the TP, the lower the actual winrate will be, because price has to move further for a trade to be counted as a win.
⚠️ On the other hand, I do not recommend setting TP below the suggested minimum levels. When TP is too low to compensate for the probability of being wrong, the system will almost certainly struggle to generate sustainable long-term profit.
📌 So, treat these levels as a “floor” for reference. You can raise your TP higher, but you need to check whether the winrate after raising TP is still enough to preserve the system’s statistical edge.
#TradingRisk