$BTC Are bear markets getting less severe over time? Percentage-wise, yes, that's been the trend.



86%, 84%, 77%.

Data-wise, no. Unlike cycle tops which show a clear diminishing across nearly all data, cycle bottoms have been very consistent.

Logarithmic MVRV is not at cycle bottom levels. The very accurate and more conservative cycle bottom target of the Realized Market Cap MA, 42.5k, has not been reached.

A move there would be a 66% drop which is still over 10% less than last cycle's bear market.

And again, more aggressive cycle bottom targets like the magic band's low 30k's are not off the table.
BTC-1.25%
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VinesCoiledIntoGeometricShapes
· 5h ago
66% sounds scary, but compared to the previous round, it's much gentler.
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Miner'sHelmetUnderTheMoonlight
· 12h ago
Looking at it on a log scale is a completely different story.
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GasFeeGambit
· 19h ago
Data doesn't lie, but my wallet might
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GateUser-e72657f0
· 06-23 20:30
So, are we now halfway up the mountain or at the foot of the mountain?
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FogValleyBlueLake
· 06-23 15:10
MVRV hasn't reached the bottom zone yet, let's wait a bit longer.
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GasUnderTheMoonlight
· 06-23 14:16
I’ve noted down the number 42.5k, I’ll go all-in when it hits that level.
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Falcon_Official
· 06-23 03:34
2026 GOGOGO 👊
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GateUser-470bc925
· 06-23 03:14
A magic carry of 30k... I can't imagine, I really can't imagine
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RedGlass
· 06-23 02:55
Who named the magic band low 30k's?
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RetroRadioSignal
· 06-23 02:49
Is the Realized Cap MA really this accurate? Go back and review it.
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