This market roller coaster never follows a new script.

Looking back at the last two big bear markets, the pattern is almost identical—the market deflates like a punctured ball, trending downward all the way. Each time, it first takes a sharp dive to wash out the impatient, then once the bottom is solid, a real recovery slowly begins.

June is almost over, and closing at a low this month is all but certain. If historical patterns still hold, this current drop isn't actually a bad thing—it's more like bending down to tie your shoelaces before a long run, gathering momentum to make room and build strength for the big move ahead.

That said, blindly applying old playbooks to new circumstances probably won't work. The current macro environment and liquidity speed are a world apart from back then. Relying solely on remembered candlestick charts is a sure way to get burned.

A rough timeline calculation: if this month does close at a low, the real window to gradually accumulate won't come until six months to a year later. If you rush to fire all your bullets now, you'll just get stuck in endless consolidation quicksand, suffering from floating losses and even more mental anguish.

Rather than entering early and passively waiting out time, it's better to stay patient, wait until the ground is solid and the direction is clear, then reach out calmly. The market never lacks opportunities—what it lacks is the patience to wait for them to appear.

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