The bearish Bitcoin short setup idea I shared with everyone yesterday delivered a real, tangible downside of 2,700 points. Anyone who was my student and caught this move clearly knows that trend-following trades are always more reliable than blindly gambling on a rebound.

Late in the evening, renewed clashes between the U.S. and Iran flared up again and became the key fuse that crushed the bulls. Once the regional conflict continues to intensify, with oil prices staying on an upward path, it will once again lift global inflation expectations.

The further postponement of the Fed’s easing expectations means that in a liquidity-tightening environment, Bitcoin has no basis for a sustained rebound. With multiple negative factors converging, the short-term outlook stays bearish. A rebound is an opportunity to enter a short position. Don’t be misled by a small, short-term pullback rebound—this downward move driven by short-term geopolitical risk won’t end easily.

**Trading recommendation:** Aggressive—short directly at the current price. Conservative—short around 62,600–63,200, targeting 61,200–60,600. If it breaks below 60,000 and 59,200, defend at 64,000.
#Strategy上周减持3588枚BTC $BTC $ETH $SOL