Tracking real-time hotspots in the crypto space, seizing the best trading opportunities. Today is Thursday, July 9, 2026. I'm Wang Yibo! Good morning, crypto friends ☀ Diamond fans check in 👍 Like for huge gains 🍗🍗🌹🌹

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Yesterday, the macro environment deteriorated again. Trump explicitly stated that "the temporary ceasefire with Iran is over," and the US immediately launched new strikes on Iran, rapidly escalating geopolitical tensions. Market concerns grew that a restart of war could push up inflation and prompt the Fed to raise interest rates. Under this influence, the US dollar index hit a one-week high during the session, while the 10-year US Treasury yield surged to 4.77%, a recent high, creating dual pressure on non-yielding assets like crypto. International oil prices soared to two-week highs, with WTI crude closing up 3.28% at $74.38/barrel and Brent crude up 4.1% at $79.32/barrel. Gold continued its decline, approaching the $4,020 level. US stocks saw the Dow fall 1.09%, the S&P 500 drop 0.28%, while the Nasdaq edged up 0.2%. Memory chip stocks diverged sharply, with NVIDIA rising 3.6% against the trend and SanDisk up 6.7%. The crypto market generally came under pressure and fell yesterday. Bitcoin continued to retreat from above $64,000, hitting a low near $61,500, with a single-day drop of about 3.5%, erasing nearly half of the gains since the nonfarm payroll rebound. Ethereum weakened in tandem, pulling back to around $1,712 as its lowest, then entered a narrow range consolidation between $1,710 and $1,730. The end of the US-Iran ceasefire means geopolitical premiums are returning, and the logical chain of oil price rise → inflation expectations heating up → rate hike fears intensifying is reinforced again. However, the fact that the nonfarm payroll data significantly missed expectations has not changed, and the probability of a substantive Fed rate hike in the short term remains low. For now, it's more of an overreaction at the emotional level. Yibo will continue to track macro data, institutional fund flows, and on-chain changes, updating strategies in real time.

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Bitcoin continued its volatile decline yesterday, dropping from $63,700, hitting a low of $61,500 before a slight rebound to around $62,200 for consolidation. On the 4-hour chart, a bearish arrangement with successively lower highs (64,200 → 63,700 → 63,000) and lower lows (62,500 → 61,500) is forming. The price has broken below the MA60 and MA120, two medium-term moving averages. The MACD shows a bearish crossover below the zero line with expanding green bars, and the RSI has fallen to 35 in the weak region, indicating a complete bearish structure. Resistance above is at $62,500-$62,800 (previous support turned resistance), support below at $61,500-$61,800, and if lost, look at $60,500-$61,000. Until the price recovers $62,800 with volume, maintain the main strategy of shorting on bounces. In the $62,500-$62,800 area, if the price shows resistance, you can lightly short, with a stop loss above $63,000, targeting $61,500-$61,000. Long positions should wait for a clear bottoming signal; do not bottom-fish on the left side. From $64,200 to $61,500, each rally high is lower than the previous one — that is the simplest definition of a bearish trend.

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Ethereum started a volatile decline from $1,785 yesterday, rebounded to $1,760 in the afternoon but faced resistance, then hit a low of $1,712 in the evening session. It is now consolidating weakly around $1,740. On the 4-hour chart, a bearish structure with successively lower highs (1,812 → 1,785 → 1,760) and lower lows (1,745 → 1,712) is visible. The price has broken below the daily MA30 (around $1,760), and the MA7 has formed a death cross with MA30. The MACD shows a bearish crossover below the zero line with expanding green bars, and the RSI has fallen to 35 in the weak region, indicating bearish momentum is still being released. Resistance above is at $1,745-$1,760, with strong resistance at $1,780-$1,800. Support below is at $1,700-$1,712, and if lost, look at $1,680-$1,650. In terms of operations, maintain the strategy of shorting on bounces. In the $1,745-$1,760 area, if the price shows resistance, you can lightly short, with a stop loss above $1,780, targeting $1,712-$1,700. Until the price reclaims $1,760, all upward moves can only be called bounces.