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According to Checkonchain data, 103,913 BTC have been spent this year alone from wallets that have been inactive for between five and fifteen years, equivalent to approximately $7.6 billion. This trend continues unabated, with the most striking example occurring on July 15th, when a wallet that had been silent for over eight years moved 5,908 BTC, worth approximately $383 million, to another unknown address in a single transaction. These coins were purchased in December 2017 when Bitcoin was around $16,000, and their value at that time was around $100 million; now it has almost quadrupled.
A similar movement occurred on July 12th, when an address inactive since October 2018 moved 2,931 BTC, worth approximately $188 million, to a new wallet. A similar movement of 2,373 BTC aged between five and seven years was also recorded in mid-June. According to Galaxy Research, this "great redistribution" of old bitcoins is largely complete, with awakened coin volume in 2026 being less than half of last year's, while K33 estimates that early investors will sell a record $300 billion worth of bitcoin in 2025.
Such movements always create fear of selling in the market, but there's an important nuance: the move of coins to an unknown new address rather than an exchange suggests it might be more of a change of custody or preparation for an over-the-counter deal rather than a direct sale. The $383 million transfer on July 15th also didn't involve an exchange, leading analysts to treat it as a matter of cautious observation rather than an immediate sell signal.
There's also a development that balances this picture: Glassnode's long-term investor net position change data showed a strong positive reading in early July, with a net accumulation of approximately 74,000 BTC on a thirty-day basis. So, the awakening of old coins and the general shift of long-term investors to a net buying position are happening simultaneously, which shows that a single large wallet movement alone does not determine the overall direction of the market.
For those following Bitcoin through Gate, the main point to watch is whether these old wallet movements are going to an exchange, because that's where the real selling pressure signal emerges. As long as the coins remain in unknown addresses, this is more of an observation, not a definitive sell signal, but if an increase in exchange inflows is observed, this picture will need to be re-evaluated.
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