China keeps acting, Iran may shift into a full-scale offensive phase, and the short positions eat big profits—keep shorting! 7.18 BTC & ETH trading ideas

On the 18th, Iran’s top leader’s adviser Rezaei publicly said that if the US continues launching attacks over the next two or three days, Iran will end its previous deterrence and reciprocal counterattack strategy, moving into a “full-scale offensive and destruction” phase, and may directly strike US overseas military bases and personnel. He said Iran had previously exercised restraint to prevent the conflict from spilling over into the region, but the US’s “misjudgment” could drive the situation to escalate. Rezaei also called on regional countries and governments such as Kuwait, Jordan, Qatar, and the UAE to stop the US and Israel from expanding their actions, and said the US strategy of “fighting and negotiating at the same time” has failed, and Iran will strengthen its counterattack efforts in the coming days. Afterwards, the Iranian forces launched attacks on relevant US facilities in Bahrain, destroying US unmanned boat storage facilities, and striking an AI center used to help the US with target localization. The short has already opened—if you run in time, BTC can still potentially take three thousand points, and ETH can easily break above one hundred points!

After the daily BTC broke below the 20-day moving average, it bounced back at midnight; after ETH broke below the 10-day moving average, it bounced back as well. In the end, BTC closed with a bullish candle with a cross star, while ETH closed with a bearish candle whose lower wick is relatively long. Clearly, there are still too many bearish chips. The market maker is still unwilling to let us earn so easily, but under such a tense situation there’s no reason to be bullish, so just keep the rebound-and-short strategy!

7.18 short setup:

For BTC, rebound 64,300-64,800 continue short; for more稳健 traders, short 65,200-65,600; defense around 66,500; targets to watch 63,500-63,000-62,500; if it breaks, watch 62,000-61,500-61,000; continue to trail stop and take profit as appropriate!

For ETH, rebound 1,860-1,890 continue short; for more稳健 traders, enter 1,920-1,950; defense around 1,980; targets to watch 1,820-1,800; if it breaks, watch 1,750-1,700; continue to trail stop and take profit as appropriate!

7.18 long setup:

For BTC, pull back 60,500-61,000 long one tranche; defense near 60k; targets to watch 62,000-62,500-63,000; if it breaks, watch 63,500-64,000-64,500

For ETH, pull back 1,670-1,700 long one tranche; defense around 1,640; targets to watch 1,750-1,780-1,800; if it breaks, watch 1,830-1,850

Just say Iran won’t just back down like this; otherwise the earlier hard-line resistance becomes meaningless. Even though it’s behind the US, it won’t just leave it up to fate. So short the rebounds only! #夏日创作营