July 27 evening strategy plan priority order fan-only

Operation priority order
Priority 1: Pullback 1956-1953, go long with a light position
This is currently the closest short-term long opportunity to the price action.
Entry zone:
Aggressive: 1956-1954
Conservative: near 1953; after selling pressure stops, enter again
Stop loss:
Below 1948
With 100x leverage, set a hard stop-loss control within 5-7 USD
Take profit:
TP1: 1962-1965
TP2: 1968-1972
TP3: 1978-1980
Applicable conditions:
When pulling back 1956-1953, there is no breakout and violation on increased volume
5m candle closes, selling pressure stops, and the price reclaims above 1958
BTC / the overall market is not simultaneously dropping sharply
Invalidation conditions:
After falling below 1950, the rebound cannot rise back above 1953
Then this long trade’s logic fails, and you cannot hold through it
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Priority 2: Rebound 1968-1972, short at resistance after rejection
Current price is around 1962. If it first rebounds to around 1970 but cannot break through, you can take a short.
Entry zone:
1968-1972
Stop loss:
Above 1976
If there is a strong breakout above 1976, then do not keep shorting
Take profit:
TP1: 1962
TP2: 1956-1953
TP3: 1945-1940
Applicable conditions:
Rebound to around 1970 with reduced volume
On 5m, a bearish upper wick appears
Price cannot re-establish above 1972
Note:
This is a short trade against the higher-cycle trend; only quick in and quick out.
When it reaches 1956-1953, you must reduce position size; do not be greedy.
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Priority 3: Pullback 1945-1940 to go long
This is a steadier dip-buy position for the evening; suitable for waiting.
Entry zone:
1945-1940
Stop loss:
Below 1934
If it breaks below 1934, it means the prior high-range consolidation may turn into a deeper pullback
Take profit:
TP1: 1953-1956
TP2: 1962-1965
TP3: 1970-1972
If there is a strong bullish engulfing, then look toward 1980
Applicable conditions:
After price drops to 1945-1940, selling pressure stops
On 5m/15m, bullish engulfing candles appear
During the decline, volume gradually shrinks
Logic:
1945-1940 is the key trend support right now.
If the market washes out first this evening, this area is safer to buy long than chasing longs at the current price.
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Priority 4: Fake breakout short near 1978-1980
This is the high-level battle point worth focusing on tonight.
Entry zone:
Aggressive: 1978-1980
Conservative: after pushing through 1980, drop back below 1976, then short
Stop loss:
Above 1985-1988
Take profit:
TP1: 1970-1972
TP2: 1962
TP3: 1956-1953
After breaking below 1953, you can look at 1945-1940
Applicable conditions:
After pushing toward 1980, it cannot hold above
On 5m, there is a long upper wick
Volume surges as it pushes higher, but it cannot hold
Note:
1980 is today’s key resistance. The first retest can be shorted.
But if the 15m body can stand firm above 1980, then do not keep shorting.
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Priority 5: After breaking 1980, pull back to go long
This is not the first choice; only do it after the breakout confirmation is strong.
Valid breakout conditions:
5m/15m candle bodies close above 1980
On the pullback, 1976-1980 is not broken
Then it attempts another upside push with increased volume
Entry zone:
Long after pullback to 1976-1980 without breaking
Stop loss:

Below 1970
Take profit:
TP1: 1988-1995
TP2: 2000
TP3: 2010
Failure signal:
After breaking 1980, it quickly drops back below 1976
This is a fakeout; do not chase longs—instead, consider a short.
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