# 伊朗确认拉里贾尼遇害

March 18 Bitcoin Morning Public Strategy
Last night, Bitcoin surged to 74856.2 and then pulled back, dropping to a low of 73330.3, followed by a weak rebound, forming a "surge-pullback-low-level consolidation" structure.
The 15-minute K-line shows a high double-top formation with the neckline around 74000. If it breaks down effectively, it will accelerate the downward move.
From the trading volume perspective, the decline phase shows increased volume while the rebound phase shows shrinking volume, indicating stronger short-side initiative and insufficient buying support from longs.
Operation S

Jiahao's Wednesday Thoughts Sharing
3.18 Tonight the Federal Reserve rate cut meeting proceeds as scheduled, with a rate cut probability of only 1.9%. Based on Iran's current situation, no rate cut is essentially a done deal. The Israeli Defense Forces launched massive airstrikes on Iran, with Iran's National Security Secretary and his son both killed, and the Middle East situation escalating once again - multiple bearish factors!
From a technical perspective:
Big pie failed to break through 76000 and has since slid to a low of 73330. Subsequently, it continues to consolidate narrowly between