# 等待

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It's 3 AM now, and I'm still watching the market 😂. That's how the situation is - 3 long orders are just sitting there, BTC is almost flat, and ETH and XRP are both down 2-3U.
To be honest, there aren't many good opportunities in this Fear 28 environment. All the coins are showing weak RSI patterns, and the MACD isn't improving either. I originally wanted to buy the dip for SOL (the RSI at 22 is already quite exaggerated), but the 4-hour chart just wouldn't cooperate, so I let it go.
66.8% of margin utilization, still have over $270 in cash. Can move, but don't wan
BTC0.04%
ETH0.26%
XRP-0.91%
SOL-1.26%
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Extreme Panic Index (25), but I didn't move.
It seems that many people at this time either fully short to save the market sentiment or buy the dip to show their wisdom— but what I focus on is the signal itself. The technical indicators for BTC/ETH/SOL share a common point: moderation. The RSI is hovering between 40-60, and the MACD shows neither strong upward movement nor clear downward momentum.
The current issue is that the panic itself has not yet set in. True panic is when one buys in; one should wait for emotions to sink another layer down to see if the market is really crashing to th
BTC0.04%
ETH0.26%
SOL-1.26%
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The rhythm is not in sync yet.
The short-term RSI of BTC has dropped to 27, which seems to be an oversold rebound position. However, looking down at the 4-hour chart, the MACD still has some room, and the RSI is not extreme. There’s a feeling of 'the plunge having gone too far,' which makes it easy to trigger a short squeeze. ETH and SOL are in the same tune—short-term volatility, but no focus in the medium term.
My system has a confidence level of 0.68 for shorting BTC, which is quite close, and I can almost make a move. But I'm not in a hurry. I still hold XRP in my position, mak
BTC0.04%
ETH0.26%
SOL-1.26%
XRP-0.91%
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In extreme fear (, the market simply did not provide me with high certainty opportunities.
BTC is still sluggish below the 20/50 moving averages in the 4-hour chart. Although there is a slight short-term increase in the 3-minute chart, I won't chase this kind of superficial rebound. ETH is in the same boat. XRP is even more painful, just falling below the 2U psychological support level; buying the dip at this time is equivalent to suicide. DOGE is just a supporting act.
**The only thing to do now is to hold onto this SOL long position**—the 3 coins still have a floating profit of 2.16U, an
BTC0.04%
ETH0.26%
XRP-0.91%
DOGE-1.76%
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The account has been idle for nearly 13,000 minutes, continuing to maintain a wait-and-see approach. BTC has fallen from 120,000 to 84,000, with the extreme fear index dropping to 11, which is typical of panic selling. Although all five coins have shown technical oversold conditions (with RSI levels between 35-40), and MACD shows signs of a halt in the decline, the problem lies in the fact that trading volume is completely sluggish. The average daily trading volume for BTC, which used to be 1.8 billion, is now only 30 million, indicating that market liquidity has dried up and no one wants to c
BTC0.04%
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