April 11, 2026 Ethereum Market Analysis and Contract Strategy Recommendations

1. Multi-timeframe Technical Analysis

Weekly Level: Long-term bearish, short-term rebound
- Trend: The weekly chart is in a bottoming oscillation zone after declining from a high of 4957. Although there has been a recent rebound, it remains below the long-term moving average (MA60: 2894), indicating a bear market rebound or accumulation phase.
- Moving Averages: Price has just broken above MA5 (2113) and MA7 (2063), which is a short-term positive signal, suggesting weakening downward momentum and signs of stabilization.
- MACD: Still below zero but with shrinking green bars and flattening fast and slow lines, implying long-term downward momentum is waning.

Daily Level: Bullish arrangement, trend turning stronger
- Trend: The daily trend is very critical. Price has broken through previous consolidation levels and is holding above all short-term moving averages (MA5, MA7, MA10, MA20). MA5 (2220) has formed a golden cross with MA20 (2113), a clear short-term bullish signal.
- Pattern: A smooth upward trend with higher lows.
- MACD: Bullish crossover above zero, red bars expanding, indicating bullish forces are dominating the daily trend.

4-hour Level: High-level oscillation, gathering strength for breakout
- Trend: Price remains above 2200 with oscillation, with moving averages in a bullish arrangement (MA5 > MA10 > MA20).
- Key Point: Price is around 2244, attempting to break previous high resistance. As long as it does not fall below MA20 (2213), the short-term bullish pattern remains intact.
- MACD: Fast and slow lines are close above zero with weak red bars, indicating a consolidation phase in the upward move, with a choice of direction pending.

1-hour Level: Short-term correction, strong support
- Trend: The 1-hour chart shows a correction after falling from 2273. Moving averages are intertwined, with MA5 and MA10 flattening, indicating an unclear short-term direction and sideways consolidation.
- Support: Dense support zones between 2230 - 2240.
- MACD: Slight fluctuations near zero, no clear momentum, confirming the sideways view.

2. Overall Market Judgment

General conclusion: Slightly bullish with oscillation.
- Long-term (weekly): Still bottoming, don’t expect a V-shaped surge, but the worst may be over.
- Mid-term (daily): Currently the strongest cycle, the daily bullish trend continues, likely testing resistance at 2300 - 2350.
- Short-term (4H/1H): Consolidating after a rally, digesting profit-taking, and likely to continue the daily upward trend after consolidation.

3. Today’s Contract Strategy Suggestions

Based on the “bullish daily outlook with short-term correction gathering strength,” the core strategy today is to buy on dips and be cautious about chasing highs.

Strategy A: Main Strategy — Buy on Dips (Recommended)
- Entry Logic: Enter on retracements on the 1-hour or 4-hour charts, aligning with the strong daily trend.
- Entry Points:
- First Entry: 2230 - 2235 (near the 4-hour MA20, also the lower boundary of the 1-hour oscillation box).
- Second Entry (Add position): 2215 - 2220 (support at daily MA5, strong support).
- Stop Loss: Break below 2200 (a confirmed break of the 4-hour key support, indicating a trend reversal).
- Take Profit Targets:
- First Target: 2265 (near previous high).
- Second Target: 2290 - 2300 (psychological and weekly resistance levels).

Strategy B: Auxiliary Strategy — Breakout Chase
- Entry Logic: If the market is very strong, directly volume-break above the oscillation upper boundary.
- Conditions: 1-hour or 4-hour candle closes firmly above 2275 with increased volume.
- Operation: Light position chasing longs.
- Stop Loss: 2260.
- Target: Up to 2320.

Strategy C: Aggressive Short Position (Higher risk, only for very short-term)
- Entry Logic: If price faces resistance around 2270-2273 (long upper shadow) with MACD divergence.
- Operation: Light short position, aiming for a short-term pullback.
- Stop Loss: 2280.
- Target: Revisit 2245 - 2250.

4. Risk Tips
- Bitcoin Correlation: Cryptocurrency markets are highly correlated. When trading ETH, monitor BTC’s movement. If BTC suddenly drops sharply, ETH long strategies should be immediately stopped or paused.
- Volume: The current consolidation needs volume to break through. If the rise is with decreasing volume, it may be a trap for false signals.
- News: Watch for tonight’s Federal Reserve speeches or major crypto news.

Summary: The main idea today is to buy near 2230-$2240 with tight stops, aiming for the continuation of the daily upward trend.