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Education: Head and Shoulders Pattern (Head & Shoulders)
Let's break down this timeless technical analysis, which is also a favorite trap used by market makers to trap greedy bulls. This is a very strong bearish reversal pattern, indicating that the upward trend has been broken and the coin is about to experience a sharp decline.
Here's what it looks like on the chart:
1. Left shoulder: A local high formed during an uptrend. Retail traders happily chase the long, then the price naturally pulls back to a support level (which we call the neckline).
2. Head: The market maker aggressively pushes the price up, directly breaking the previous high. During this frenzy, the most FOMO-driven traders rush in, convinced it will keep rising. At this point, big players start distributing chips to them, then sharply push the price back down near the neckline.
3. Right shoulder: The bulls' last pitiful struggle to push the price higher. But volume and momentum are no longer enough, so a lower high is formed. This is a clear signal that the bulls are completely exhausted.
The logic behind it:
The main funds have completed their distribution at the peak, wiped out early short stop-losses, and trapped late bulls. The right shoulder confirms weakness. Once the price breaks below the neckline, it will trigger a chain of stop-losses from bulls, causing a waterfall liquidation that drives the coin price into the abyss.
How to operate:
- Entry: Never guess the top to short! Wait until the price clearly breaks below the neckline before shorting. It’s best to wait for a volume-backed bearish candle closing below the neckline, or a rebound after the breakdown that gets suppressed.
- Stop-loss: Place it firmly above the right shoulder. Don’t set the stop too close in pursuit of risk-reward ratio, to avoid malicious pinning and stop-loss hunting by market makers.
- Take profit: Measure the vertical distance from the head’s highest point to the neckline, then project the same distance downward from the breakout point. This position is your final take-profit point; once reached, take your profit.
Core principle:
Only after breaking below the neckline does this head and shoulders pattern officially confirm. Before that, everything is just your own illusion. Be patient and wait for the structure to be confirmed broken before decisively entering!
Save this post, don’t forget, stay calm and trade wisely!