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The probability that Israel will launch strikes against Yemen before April 30 has fallen to 14%, down 32% over 24 hours. According to Odaily Planet Daily, U.S. Secretary of State Rubio will host a meeting between Israel and Lebanon ambassadors in Washington on the 14th. The meeting takes place amid ongoing clashes between the two sides, focusing on the possibility of a ceasefire, the disarmament of Hezbollah, and a long-term peace agreement. After President Trump pressured for de-escalation, Netanyahu agreed to move forward with negotiations, and the U.S. has asked Israel to pause some military operations. As diplomatic mediation gets underway, market expectations that Israel will open a new front in Yemen have cooled significantly.