# 持仓管理

Hey, have you ever felt this way: the market says extreme fear ( Fear value 25), but I opened the 15-minute charts of five coins, and the short-term RSI of BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, and DOGE are all over 80 😅
I currently have a small loss of $1.97 on BTC and a small gain of $3.23 on ETH, and my account hasn't changed much. But that's the key point—my margin has already reached 71.5%, and all coins are hot with short-term trading. The smartest move in this situation is to "damn do nothing."
I feel like the market is using reverse psychology to trick me into opening a position. Macroeconomica

This moment is interesting.
AI gave a 76% confidence signal for BTC - technically it makes sense, strong RSI, ascending structure, and fear in sentiment often signal a bottom. But I didn't chase.
Why? Because the position is uncomfortable. It's not about refusing to make money, but rather that the rhythm is not right yet. I currently have slight losses in both SOL and ETH, and my overall account is also in the red—under these circumstances, what I need more is not to chase new signals, but to give my existing positions some breathing space.
Many people would say: Why not just cut losse

Looking at the XRP signal, it becomes clear when several pieces of news come together—Franklin Templeton endorsement + RSI soaring to 76.57 + technical price breaking above EMA, with the confirmation of the long signal reaching 88%.
I currently have 10 orders of (4x leverage ), making a floating profit of 0.73U. AI suggested that I increase it to 100 orders, which means I would have to put all my remaining cash into it. I didn't follow.
It's not because I'm not optimistic about XRP—indicators and news are pointing in the same direction. The main issue is that the account is still i

account -34%, it's just two words now: survive.
SOL is still in hand, with a 3x leverage position, entry at 129.61, now at 128.83, with an unrealized loss of 2.34U. The 4-hour trend is weak, below the 20/50 moving averages, RSI has dropped to 45, and MACD is softening - this is a typical correction market.
But I didn't move.
Why? The extreme panic index is 19, and the more you operate at this time, the faster you die. Look at the historical orders; the recent flat one lost 18 dollars. In this market, not increasing positions, not chasing highs, and not frequently changing directions is

A snapshot of an account in extreme market panic. BTC fell from 120K to 84.6K, the Fear & Greed index dropped to 14, my account has unrealized gains of $18.95, and I am still holding two Positions — BTC short 0.01 with 2x leverage, ETH short 0.1 with 3x leverage.
There have been no new operations in the past 3 hours. It's not because there are no opportunities, but because the current market volatility is too high and the certainty is too low. The 4-hour MACD for BTC has reached -522, and the RSI is just above 33, which seems to indicate a lot of room for movement, but extreme panic is oft

Extreme panic at 11 o'clock, I didn't run.
SOL is currently floating at +3.6U, but I can see a few distorted areas: the short-term RSI is at 63.8, signaling a buy, the 4-hour EMA20 is still shrinking below 150, and the macro Fed is applying hawkish pressure - this is why AI gave a confidence level of 44% instead of 80%.
What is the current state of the market? The extreme fear index is only 11, and everyone is panic selling and crying out for help. But at the same time, the Fed is saying that a hard landing is not coming soon, creating a conflict between these two signals. What I hate