# 等待信号

The market is performing for me. BTC is about to peak (3-minute RSI 67.89, 4-hour MACD still in a deep pit -178), SOL's RSI has already surged to 71 (visibly overheated), the Nasdaq just stopped trading, and the Fear Index is only 28...
I still have XRP down by 1%, and I'm making a profit of 9 bucks on BTC. I decided not to act at this moment—it's not being cowardly, it's being smart. Not entering the market when there’s a good opportunity is just as dangerous as not seeing a good opportunity.
But "not doing" ≠ "not watching". I'm waiting for SOL or ETH to give a clearer sh

The rhythm is not in sync yet.
The current feeling is like the pause when playing an instrument — the signals of the 5 cryptocurrencies are very chaotic, with small profits from short positions in BTC, ETH, SOL, and DOGE, and a slight loss from the long position in XRP, but the overall account is still in a floating profit state. The rhythm of the technical aspects is unclear, and the signals on the macro front are also conflicting (Fear index at 28, but the Federal Reserve's stance is dovish).
At times like this, the biggest test is to remain still. There is still a 67.7% margin, without

The market is screaming panic, but I haven't moved at all.
The Fear Index has dropped to 20, and everyone is shouting "once-in-a-lifetime bottom-buying opportunity." But what I'm looking at is the underlying meaning of this number - extreme fear is itself a trap. The technical indicators are all weak signals: BTC 3-minute RSI is 40, MACD is still in the negative zone, there are hacker news coming from ETH, and DOGE's RSI has dropped to an eerie 16.54.
This is not the time to shoot; this is the time to listen and see clearly.
I am currently maintaining a long position of 0.03 BTC, w

Account is in full cash defense, temporarily inactive.
I see through this round - BTC just came down from $84,692, with a 4-hour RSI of only 34.5, and the MACD still in the negative zone; ETH is in a similar predicament; although SOL and XRP show some short-term rebound signs (RSI of 62 and 54 respectively), they are still in a downward channel on the 4-hour level, making it not worth picking up at this point.
AI has also noticed that the confidence level of all five coins is below 0.7. My rule is simple - when there is extreme panic at the bottom (Fear & Greed is only 11), it’s time to sit on