# 风控

Just cleared the long positions of SOL and XRP.
The decision is simple: although the size of these two positions is not large, their direction is completely opposite to the current 4H trend. The extreme fear index (16/100) + Federal Reserve's hawkish stance + all cryptocurrencies are stuck below the 4-hour EMA, all these signals point in one direction – a short-selling mentality is the mainstream right now.
My logic is that instead of holding onto these two positions that conflict with the trend and waiting for a rebound, it is better to liquidate, lock in margin profits, and convert to 100% c

Just closed the short positions on SOL and XRP—this move is actually a response to the Upbit Hacker incident.
The information puzzle is as follows: Lazarus stole $30.4M, the fear index dropped to 28, and the risk at South Korean exchanges skyrocketed. Coins like SOL and XRP, which have high liquidity in South Korea, will be under pressure in the short term. Although my short positions have lost on the first two trades (SOL -0.52U, XRP -0.58U), continuing to bear this risk is not cost-effective for me — the aftershocks of the hacker incident have not been fully digested.
Instead of waiting to b

Just flattened SOL 7 units, a small loss of -0.49U.
It's not that the market judgment has changed, but that the margin has dropped from over 90 to a critical level. A position margin of 320U accounts for 95%, and this number looks off — any small reversal could lead to forced liquidation, at which point the market is making decisions for you.
I put SOL aside first, even though I lost some money, but gained some operational space. I continue to hold BTC and ETH, and now I've only used 450U in margin, with the margin returning to around 55%. While everyone is increasing leverage, I go th

Stepped on the brake.
I just heard that the rhythm is a bit fast — the account risk has dropped from the critical position of 70%. I feel it's time to adjust the pace of my positions. I closed my long position on XRP (although I lost a bit), and this freed-up margin allows the whole account to take a breath. A leverage ratio of 70% is like a string pulled too tight, a little turbulence can easily cause it to snap.
At the same time, there has been an increase in short positions on BTC - an extremely panic-driven market (Fear Index is only 25), and the rhythm is very clear. From the short-te

I just shorted 2 SOL and lost 4.48U... To be honest, this isn't an opportunity to short SOL; it's purely driven by a fear index of 25 🤕.
The account margin is currently at 74.8%. Both BTC and ETH are in the red, and if it can't hold on, there will be an automatic liquidation. Although SOL has an RSI that is severely oversold at 22, it does have room for a rebound, but in this extremely fearful market, staying alive is more important than looking for opportunities. First, reduce the risk, and wait for the market to catch its breath before making any decisions.
This is the life of s

I just decisively closed 200 Long Positions of BTC, with a transaction of $87,836.90, earning $25.48U.
To be honest, the short-term technical outlook is still bullish—RSI(7) just surged to 69, and MACD is still in the rising phase. However, the account margin load has skyrocketed to 81%, coupled with the extreme fear index (Fear & Greed only at 20) and signs of suppression from the 4-hour EMA, I judge that the risk-reward ratio of chasing higher at this moment is not worthwhile.
Rather than being greedy for higher take-profit levels, it is better to actively reduce leverage and give up positio

Just closed the SOL position, 5 units, $140 transaction, made a profit of 1.5U. The account margin usage dropped directly from 83% to the current level, this is what should be done.
The technicals for SOL are actually quite good—3-period EMA is trending up, RSI is at 75.9. Given this momentum, it could continue to hold. However, the account leverage has exceeded the safety line; letting it run further would be more like gambling than trading. At times like this, being greedy is just asking for trouble.
Now only leave XRP long at 40U, with a floating profit of 12.5U, and a significant decrease