Coinbase Entry Fuels $12B January Milestone for Prediction Markets - Crypto Economy

CryptoEconomy · 2026-02-02T14:50:17+00:00

TL;DR Prediction markets surpassed $12 billion in volume in January, their highest monthly figure on record, according to data from Wu Blockchain. Kalshi, Polymarket, Opinion, and Probable each exceeded $1 billion in monthly volume. Coinbase launched a U.S. event-based prediction market

CryptoEconomy

2026-02-02 14:50:17

TL;DR

Prediction markets surpassed $12 billion in volume in January, their highest monthly figure on record, according to data from Wu Blockchain.
Kalshi, Polymarket, Opinion, and Probable each exceeded $1 billion in monthly volume.
Coinbase launched a U.S. event-based prediction market platform with Kalshi, built around binary contracts on elections, sports, and economic indicators.

Prediction markets posted record volume above $12 billion in January, according to data published by Wu Blockchain. This marks the highest monthly level reported so far for this disruptive segment within the crypto ecosystem.

Four platforms individually surpassed $1 billion in monthly volume. Kalshi, Polymarket, Opinion, and Probable accounted for most of the activity. On-chain data collected by Dune through a Gate Research dashboard showed that volume was distributed across multiple active contract books, with no reliance on a single market.

https://twitter.com/WuBlockchain/status/2017965288776442120

Historic Record

During the same period, prediction markets generated more than $11 million in on-chain fees. Opinion led that category with approximately $6.14 million, while Polymarket accumulated $2.62 million. The remaining platforms fell well below those levels, showing a sharp drop in fee generation outside the leading markets.

January activity was driven by event contracts linked to political processes and macroeconomic variables. The data showed high contract turnover throughout the month, with liquidity concentrated in markets with higher trading volume and active resolution.

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Coinbase Enters Prediction Markets Alongside Kalshi

January also marked Coinbase’s entry into prediction markets in the United States. The company launched an event-based trading platform in partnership with Kalshi, according to industry reports. The platform offers binary yes-or-no contracts based on predefined outcomes and settled at event resolution.

The platform operates under a regulated framework within the U.S. jurisdiction. Available contracts include elections, sporting events, and economic indicators. Kalshi was valued at $11 billion, according to reports linked to its agreement with Coinbase.

Prediction markets are experiencing a strong surge and continue to grow at an exponential pace. More companies are likely to seek entry into the segment over time as user adoption and trading volume continue to expand

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