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3.20原油震荡修复,回调做多就是捡钱
原油昨日高位震荡,盘中再度试探 100 美元关口,未能站稳后于后半夜回落调整,低点回撤至 92 附近,日线收出一根大阴线。
从日线结构来看,油价在 100 关口承压收阴,对技术形态与市场情绪均形成明显冲击。虽尚未跌破 10 日均线,但已失守 5 日均线,且形成阴包阳的看跌形态,短线行情大概率转向震荡修复。市场情绪方面,连续上涨后多头动能有所衰减,适度技术性休整亦属合理。
短线方面,上方重点关注5 日均线95.0–95.5一带争夺,该位置同样是小时图近期震荡区间中轨。若能重新站上此处,趋势仍偏强势;若持续承压其下,则需警惕技术回修进一步延续,而下方支撑位在91附近,一旦跌破该支撑,短线或加速回调;反之,若重新站稳95美元,则可能恢复上行趋。
原油策略:回踩92-91.5轻仓空,止损91,目标94-95:轻仓、严格止损
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