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$BTC 看到了 US aggregate investable fundsas a% of US equitymarket cap(美国可投资资金总量,占美国股票市场总市值的百分比),表明了目前美国可用来投资的现金相对于美股总市值的比例已经跌到了历史极低的水平,说明了市场整体处在一种现金很少、仓位很满、对新增流动性更敏感的状态,
说人话,就是大家都几乎满仓了,没现金继续抄底了。
当然,现金少不等于机构破产,而是意味着增量买盘的边际能力下降。市场只要出现哪怕不是特别大的利空,都会从上涨靠情绪+流入切换到下跌+赎回的模式。当仓位很满的时候,任何波动都会触发风险预算、保证金要求、止损线,然后就变成了被动减仓,而不是主观离场。