#比特币价格走势 looked at Ali's on-chain analysis, and the logic of this wave of market行情 is very clear: short-term rebound probability exists, but the underlying support is very fragile. The key data is the资金面——net capital flow has already turned negative to -45 billion USD, and ETF has had a net outflow of 1 billion over two weeks, which is no small matter.
My follow-trade strategy has been adjusted in recent days. When encountering a rebound行情, I tend to only follow those aggressive traders with strict stop-loss settings, and reduce the分仓比例 to within 30% of the total funds. The reason is simple: any current上涨 could be a false prosperity built on leverage, and once资金 continues to flow out, such rebounds can turn downward at any moment, and chasing high orders becomes a "韭菜收割机" material.
For friends with moderate risk偏好, rather than following short-term rebounds during this period, it’s better to关注 those稳健手 who are布局 long-term底部. They may have short-term gains but manageable回撤, and only by surviving can they wait for real opportunities. In a bear market, living longer is more valuable than living faster. Before the资金面 shows fundamental改善, I保持 a "wait and see before acting" attitude towards any上涨.
#比特币价格走势 looked at Ali's on-chain analysis, and the logic of this wave of market行情 is very clear: short-term rebound probability exists, but the underlying support is very fragile. The key data is the资金面——net capital flow has already turned negative to -45 billion USD, and ETF has had a net outflow of 1 billion over two weeks, which is no small matter.
My follow-trade strategy has been adjusted in recent days. When encountering a rebound行情, I tend to only follow those aggressive traders with strict stop-loss settings, and reduce the分仓比例 to within 30% of the total funds. The reason is simple: any current上涨 could be a false prosperity built on leverage, and once资金 continues to flow out, such rebounds can turn downward at any moment, and chasing high orders becomes a "韭菜收割机" material.
For friends with moderate risk偏好, rather than following short-term rebounds during this period, it’s better to关注 those稳健手 who are布局 long-term底部. They may have short-term gains but manageable回撤, and only by surviving can they wait for real opportunities. In a bear market, living longer is more valuable than living faster. Before the资金面 shows fundamental改善, I保持 a "wait and see before acting" attitude towards any上涨.