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#打榜优质内容 Is the bull run peaking? NO! The foundation of the bull run remains intact: the triple resonance of funds, policies, and trends indicates that this is not the end of the bull run. The core reason is that the fundamental logic supporting the bull run has not changed, but rather continues to strengthen:
• Capital structure upgrade: Traditional financial funds from Wall Street are entering on a large scale. These funds have a long layout cycle and stable positions, which is completely different from the 2021 pattern dominated by cryptocurrency funds, providing a solid foundation for the bull run.
• Policy dividends continue: The United States has approved 3 spot ETFs for altcoins, and it is expected that over 100 altcoin ETFs will be approved by 2026; many countries are incorporating cryptocurrency into their national strategic reserves, and listed companies and large enterprises are continuously increasing their holdings of crypto assets, leading to accelerated industry compliance and recognition.
•Market rules evidence: A bull run peak requires a broad profit effect, but currently, apart from Bitcoin, most altcoins are still in historical bottom areas, with 99% of coins not experiencing profitable trends, which does not conform to the market characteristics of a bull run ending.
Outlook: A short-term rebound from overselling is expected, while long-term opportunities should be sought on dips.
In the short term, the market is likely to primarily experience a rebound from overselling. If the rebound is strong enough, Bitcoin is expected to return to an upward trajectory, reversing the pessimistic sentiment;
In the long term, the core focus is whether the 100,000 USD annual line has effectively broken down — as long as there is no sustained failure to hold that position, the bull run pattern will not change.
Key catalytic factors are about to arrive: the U.S. government shutdown cannot last long, and once operations resume, hundreds of billions of dollars in repressed fiscal spending will be released, combined with the economic stimulus plan of the U.S. government before the midterm elections in 2026 (interest rate cuts, regulatory easing, advancement of cryptocurrency legislation). The world will usher in a new round of liquidity easing, providing strong momentum for the cryptocurrency market.
For investors, the current vicinity of 100,000 USD is a key window for chip exchange and also a quality opportunity for long-term layout. There is no need to panic due to short-term fluctuations; focus on the effectiveness of the annual support level and adhere to long-term logic to resolve short-term volatility.