People often ask me: "Why is your trading win rate so steady?" Honestly, there’s no black technology involved. The only secret is not to be blinded by a single K-line cycle.



In the crypto world, nine out of ten people losing money are doing the same—focusing only on one cycle, getting tossed around in choppy markets, ultimately chasing highs and killing lows, and not even understanding the market itself. Today, I’m sharing the multi-cycle analysis method I’ve developed over five years. Whether you’re a beginner or someone who keeps losing, following this approach will help you avoid many pitfalls.

**First, look at the big picture: the 4-hour chart is the "settling star"**

K-lines keep making new highs, and lows are gradually moving upward—that’s a standard uptrend. Don’t panic during pullbacks; find a low point and slowly add positions. If the highs are falling and lows are falling too, that’s a downtrend. Don’t expect a rebound; doing less is actually making money. When the market is sideways, be more cautious—frequent entries and exits will just rack up fees. Trying to fight the trend in the wrong direction is pointless—going against the wind is just giving away money.

**Once the trend is clear, lock in the "key points" on the 1-hour chart**

Use it to draw support and resistance, and observe how the moving averages are arranged. For example, in an uptrend, if bullish candles stay firmly above the 20-day moving average, that’s a buy signal. If the price tries to break previous highs but doesn’t succeed, it’s likely to pull back—time to step back and avoid forcing the trade.

**Finally, use the 15-minute chart to identify the "best timing for bottom fishing"**

Look for engulfing patterns, bullish divergences, or golden crosses, especially when accompanied by increased volume—that’s the real opportunity. A volume breakout with low volume is often a trap set up in advance.

Our rules are simple: trend must be correct, position must be accurate, signals must be clear. Don’t trade if any of these are missing. If you still can’t distinguish the trend or keep missing key levels, take your time to study this system. Mastering multi-cycle analysis and making it a habit will naturally bring profits. How to allocate funds, choose the right timing, and control the rhythm—these details can be refined through practical experience.
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Layer2Observervip
· 01-10 18:40
The multi-cycle framework is essentially a low-pass filter that eliminates single-cycle noise. There's nothing wrong with this idea. But in reality, most people's problems are not with the methodology, but with execution discipline. To put it simply, they just can't bring themselves to cut it off...
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MEVHunterLuckyvip
· 01-10 18:37
That's right, I used to be the kind of fool who only focused on one cycle, and as a result, I was shaken by the volatility and started to doubt life. The multi-cycle approach is indeed reliable; the 4-hour trend direction has saved me several times. However, the hardest part is still execution. I know it in theory, but when it comes to actually being in the position, it's easy to get impatient.
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RealYieldWizardvip
· 01-10 18:33
That's right, greed is the downfall of many, constantly fixating on one cycle. This multi-cycle approach really requires slow understanding; I'm currently stumbling through it repeatedly. Trading against the trend to make money hits hard—I've played it to ruin before. Setting direction on the 4-hour chart really works, much better than my previous random trading. Transaction fees are very real; frequent entries and exits during sideways markets can lead to a bloodbath. It looks simple, but in practice, it's easy to get slapped in the face and requires time to refine.
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OnlyUpOnlyvip
· 01-10 18:30
That's right, it's just that my own recklessness caused the trouble. I used to focus on the 5-minute chart, getting cut every day, and only later did I understand the principle of multiple timeframes. --- It sounds simple, but to really stick with it, discipline is essential. Most people just can't wait for that signal. --- I agree with the 4-hour trend determination; the key is to resist the urge to mess around blindly. --- The idea of a volume breakout is so true—so many times getting trapped happens just like that. --- What I've learned over five years is valuable, but most people still can't change their temper after seeing it. --- Honestly, the rules are simple, but execution is hell. Many know that the 4-hour trend is important, yet they still can't do it. --- The 20-day moving average break above is too critical; so many times, people get caught because they didn't see it clearly.
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