2026-01-12 06:21:16

BTC short-term strong signal emerges, institutional funds are rushing to accumulate

Looking at the 1-hour chart, BTC's movement clearly shows bullish intent. The BOLL(20) upper band at 92006.59 has been effectively broken through, and the price is now firmly above 92175, which is a sign of short-term strength. Looking at MACD, DIF(284.91) has completely pulled away from DEA(146.09), with the momentum histogram expanding to 277.65, showing no signs of exhaustion.

The price structure also explains the situation well. After rising over 2300 points from the low of 90236, the correction only touched the upper band support at 92000 before rebounding, indicating strong buying support. This kind of movement pattern is a strong performance in the short cycle.

On-chain data is even more interesting. In the past 24 hours, the BTC balance on exchanges has plummeted by 850 coins, with retail and small-medium investors rapidly withdrawing and hoarding, indicating that selling pressure has significantly cooled down. Meanwhile, miners have increased their holdings by 320 coins over the past 7 days, showing that miners are reluctant to sell in this wave of market, which indicates strong bullish expectations. Active addresses have increased by 12% in the past 24 hours, with new funds continuously flowing into the short-term market.

Macro-level coordination is also in place. The Federal Reserve's January interest rate meeting signaled a dovish stance, hinting at a possible 25 basis point rate cut in March, causing the US dollar index to plunge, which directly supports risk assets. More importantly, a major platform's BTC spot ETF has seen net inflows of over $500 million in the past 24 hours, 1.8 times the average of last Sunday—institutions' enthusiasm for short-term trading is even higher than retail investors.

From technical, on-chain, and macro perspectives, the 1 to 4-hour cycles are firmly bullish. Key support is tightly held in the 91800-92000 range, which is both the upper band of BOLL and a dense area of chips. As long as it does not break below this, the short-term trend is clear. The first target is the previous high-pressure zone around 93000, with a second phase focus on 93500.

BTC1,49%

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MemeKingNFT

· 01-12 06:50

It's the same script of institutions frantically accumulating again, always ending with retail investors taking the hit... But the on-chain data does have some substance; miners stopping dumping is indeed a good sign. I think the 91,800 level still needs to be watched more closely. If it weren't for the NFT crash last time, I might believe in this support... Anyway, short-term bullish seems to be the right call. $500 million net inflow? Uh... wait, I heard this last year, and the next day it broke through the previous low. Honestly, I'm a bit hesitant to be too optimistic now. I want to see 93,000, but before 93,500, I choose to stay cautious. After being taught so many lessons by the market, I'm a bit afraid this wave will turn into another "Mainland rise and fall" scenario.

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OnchainDetective

· 01-12 06:47

Wait, I need to take a closer look at this ETF net inflow data... $500 million is 1.8 times the average of last Sunday? This timing is a bit too coincidental, as the Federal Reserve just signaled dovishness and immediately so many institutions flooded in, which is clearly not a coincidence. According to on-chain data, the detail that the exchange BTC balance plummeted by 850 coins is very important—retail investors are withdrawing and hoarding coins, but miners are simultaneously increasing their holdings by 320 coins? Such coordination... After analysis and judgment, there are indeed signs of cooperation in the short term. By tracking multiple addresses, active addresses have surged by 12% month-over-month, and the funds behind this increase point to institutions rapidly building positions. Since the 91800-92000 range is both the upper band of BOLL and a dense area of chips, it’s a typical chip concentration before wash trading—I've long suspected that a shakeout game would be played at this level.

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SerRugResistant

· 01-12 06:43

Institutions' recent entry is unusual; retail investors are still hesitating, while they have already bottomed out. This pullback touches the upper band and then rebounds, which looks a bit too convenient. 850 coins flowed out, with miners hoarding, definitely not intending to dump the market. Short-term, 93,000 is a bit risky; it seems we need to test 91,800 to be more stable. The Fed's rate cut expectations are quite a hype, but can they really hold up this time? A net inflow of $500 million, and this multiple increase is indeed frightening. The technical pattern looks good; the key is to watch the macro trend.

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AirdropCollector

· 01-12 06:41

Institutions are really rushing in, with a net inflow of $500 million directly hitting the maximum, retail investors are still hesitating about what the heck. Exchange-held coins are rapidly decreasing, it seems everyone has already smelled the opportunity. Miners are no longer dumping, does this signal need any more explanation? In the short term, 93,000 is definitely worth trying to test the waters. If the 92,000 level can't be broken, then it's stable—simple and straightforward. Is it still too late to enter now? Institutions have long been ambushing. Once the Fed's rate cut expectations emerge, risk assets will take off immediately—those who understand, understand. Active addresses have increased by 12%, money is continuously flowing in—how can there still be people bearish? With this MACD trend, even recession is unknown territory. I think the support at 91,800-92,000 is solid enough; above that is 93,000. Institutions are more enthusiastic than retail investors? Fine, I believe it, and I’ll go all in.

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BackrowObserver

· 01-12 06:40

Institutions are really rushing to get on board, with a net inflow of $500 million... Can retail investors keep up with this wave?

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Degen4Breakfast

· 01-12 06:24

Institutions are really aggressive this time, with a $500 million net inflow, they are serious. Retail investors are still struggling with the support level, but big funds have already turned around and jumped in. This time, after breaking 92,000 and then pulling back, it rebounded, indicating that the consensus is indeed solidified. Miners are all hoarding; if it were me, I wouldn't dump, and with this trend, 93k seems steady. Really, once the Fed's rate cut expectation emerges, risk assets take off immediately, and BTC is the best barometer.

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