2026-01-16 10:01:47

#美国核心物价涨幅不及市场预估 Ethereum's rhythm today is a bit sluggish; the 3300 level can hold, but stability is questionable. Currently, market risk factors are stacking up—macroeconomic uncertainty is rising, and the rebound strength has noticeably weakened, making the 3400 level a critical ceiling.

If in the next half month we still can't get past this hurdle, the probability of a pullback is quite high. Be especially alert for a breakdown below 3260; once broken, a downtrend can be confirmed, and the odds of shorting will become more attractive.

In terms of trading, focus on the resistance at 3385—this level tends to be tested repeatedly. A reasonable short-term stop-loss is around 3340, aiming for a 30-point move downward, as the current phase leans toward a pullback.

Also, keep an eye on the coordination between $SOL and $HANA, as these will be influenced by overall market sentiment.

ETH-1,77%

SOL-0,89%

HANA37,78%

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ContractFreelancer

· 3h ago

It's good enough if the key level at 3300 can hold, but it really feels like a breakdown could happen later.

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TokenDustCollector

· 3h ago

Can 3300 hold up? Anyway, I don't believe 3400 can break through. This rebound is too weak. If it breaks 3260, go all-in on short positions. The odds are indeed good. Honestly, looking at ETH now, it's better to be conservative and set a stop-loss at 3340 to protect your position. How about SOL? Is it going to crash along with the market?

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MagicBean

· 3h ago

If you can't hold 3300, you have to run. This wave is incredibly weak.

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TokenomicsShaman

· 3h ago

Breaking through 3300 is really a bit uncertain, it feels like ETH is lagging today, uncomfortable. If we can't break 3400, it's really time to prepare for a bottom-fishing, I'm also waiting for this opportunity. Once 3260 collapses, the downtrend is confirmed, and then short positions will be the way to go, with favorable odds. This wave of macro expectations getting messed up directly weakens the rebound strength, it’s clear that market sentiment has become scattered. If within half a month we keep bouncing between 3300-3400, my patience will eventually wear out. The resistance level at 3385 is indeed prone to repeated tests, I've seen too many fake-outs here. Stop loss at 3340, short by 30 points, I agree with this plan, it's safer. The linkage details between SOL and HANA are easy to overlook, but they determine the overall tone moving forward. When macro gets chaotic, the crypto market starts dragging each other down, I’ve grown tired of it. Institutions are all watching CPI, retail investors can only follow the trend and copy, which is very helpless. Once 3260 breaks, shorting really becomes a printing press, provided you can endure it.

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ForkItAllDay

· 3h ago

3300 this critical level really feels a bit虚, it seems like it could break at any time I'm just waiting for the 3260 line to be torn apart, then the short odds will be interesting 3400 is being pressed down hard, it feels like this time it might really be impossible to turn around SOL and HANA definitely need to be watched closely, follow the market sentiment of Bitcoin If it can't climb out in half a month, then it's really time to change the approach Setting the stop loss at 3340 is still a bit tight, I need to leave more buffer The macro mess is back again, Ethereum can't withstand it The rebound strength is much worse than last time, not very optimistic

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