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2026 Crypto Market: Institutional Funds Flood In, Will Q2 Reach a Historic High? Full Strategy Revealed
Macro Policy Boost, Crypto Market Enters a New Cycle
In 2026, Morgan Stanley defined this year as the "Risk Restart Year." Under the combination of tax cuts, the Federal Reserve's expected 50 basis point rate cut, and relaxed regulations, traditional financial markets and crypto markets are experiencing a rare resonance. More importantly, industry leaders like Bitwise's Chief Investment Officer believe that with clear regulatory frameworks and continuous inflow of institutional funds, the cr
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币圈掘金人vip
2026: Ethereum's "Nvidia Moment"—When Wall Street's Trillions Pour into Public Blockchains, History Stands at a Critical Point
This is Ethereum's quietest yet most dangerous moment.
The danger isn't in a collapse, but in most people still not realizing: when JPMorgan moves money market funds directly onto the Ethereum mainnet, when BlackRock's $10 trillion asset management empire chooses Ethereum as the foundation for asset tokenization, and when the US Congress lays out the red carpet for stablecoins—these seemingly independent signals are converging into a shockwave that could rewrite financial history.
2026 may become Ethereum's "Nvidia Moment": not because it skyrockets tenfold, but because it completes an irreversible leap from "geek toy" to "institutional infrastructure."
A Decade-long Journey: From Laboratory to Wall Street's "Default Option"
In 2015, when Vitalik Buterin wrote the first line of Ethereum code at the blockchain lab, Wall Street bankers were still using fax machines for cross-border settlements. Who could have imagined that this experiment, mocked as "the world's computer," would, ten years later, become the default choice of the "financial internet" jointly selected by BlackRock, Fidelity, and JPMorgan?
The turning point occurred in Q4 2025. JPMorgan was no longer satisfied with "blockchain research" and directly deployed money market funds on the Ethereum mainnet, becoming the first systemically important bank to move core operations onto a public chain. Fidelity followed closely, migrating trillions of dollars in assets to Ethereum layer-1. Meanwhile, BlackRock's tokenized money market fund BUIDL, managing $10 trillion, sent an unmistakable signal to the market: asset tokenization is not the future, but the present.
The logic behind these institutions' choices is astonishingly consistent: the transformative power of blockchain on assets is akin to the internet's reshaping of information. When stocks, bonds, and real estate can circulate digitally 24/7 worldwide, and when assets, data, and payments are integrated into a single infrastructure, the entire financial system's efficiency will leap quantumly. This isn't an upgrade; it's a generational leap from the fax machine era to the internet era.
Ethereum's victory isn't because it's the cheapest or fastest, but because it's the most neutral, secure, and uncontrollable global infrastructure. Just like the internet doesn't belong to any single entity, Ethereum's public nature allows anyone to build on it, but no one can control it. For JPMorgan and others, this is more important than any technological advantage.
Stablecoins: The "$10 Trillion" Dollar "Software Upgrade" Behind the US Dollar
If asset tokenization is a long-term revolution, stablecoins are the first truly operational business model. In 2025, stablecoin transfer volume surpassed $10 trillion, silently completing a "software upgrade" of the dollar—from physical currency to programmable digital dollars.
Behind this number is a fundamental revolution in the monetary system. When cross-border payments are shortened from 3 days to 3 seconds, when companies automate trillion-dollar cash flows with smart contracts, and when ordinary users can hold digital dollars without bank accounts—these changes form a digital moat around US dollar hegemony.
The US government has understood this. In 2025, the GENIUS Act not only established a regulatory framework for stablecoins but also defined public blockchains as "the core tool to consolidate the dollar’s position in the 21st century." The US Treasury has repeatedly stated: "Whoever controls digital dollars controls the future of finance."
On the stablecoin battlefield, Ethereum already holds 60% of the market share (up to 90% if including EVM-compatible chains). When SoFi, a national bank, becomes the first commercial bank to issue stablecoins on a public chain, its platform choice is no surprise—Ethereum. This is just the beginning—Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and other Wall Street investment banks, as well as fintech giants like Stripe and PayPal, are lining up to issue Ethereum-native stablecoins.
The digital migration of the US dollar is fully underway, and Ethereum is the only high-speed highway in this migration.
Layer2 Revolution: Does Every Company Need Its Own Blockchain?
"Ethereum mainnet is the internet; Layer2 is each company's dedicated website."
This analogy is becoming reality. Coinbase built the Base chain on Ethereum, enjoying the security of the mainnet while opening up new revenue streams. Robinhood is developing its own Layer2, integrating tokenized stocks, prediction markets, and various assets. Even SWIFT, the global interbank messaging system, has chosen Ethereum Layer2 network Linea for blockchain settlement.
The charm of Layer2 lies in "getting both": companies gain the security and global liquidity of Ethereum mainnet while maintaining customization and profit margins. More importantly, these Layer2 networks are interconnected, forming a composable financial super-network.
Robinhood's explanation hits the core pain point for institutions: "Building truly decentralized secure chains is extremely difficult... but with Ethereum, we automatically gain security." This encapsulates why institutions choose Ethereum: ten years of security validation + network effects + Layer2 customization = the current optimal solution.
Latest data as of January 2026 shows: the total value locked (TVL) in Ethereum Layer2 has surpassed $100 billion, a 400% increase from 2024. Arbitrum, Optimism, and Base process over 20 million transactions daily, with fees only 1/50 of Ethereum mainnet.
Regulatory Reversal: From Biggest Obstacle to Strongest Dividend
Over the past decade, regulation was the biggest obstacle to Ethereum's institutionalization. In 2025, this obstacle turned into a rocket booster.
New SEC Chair Paul Atkins explicitly stated: "Within the next two years, all markets in the US will be on-chain." This is not just a slogan— the GENIUS Act has paved the way for stablecoins, and the upcoming CLARITY Act will provide a complete legal framework for asset tokenization.
But the most significant signal comes from DTCC (Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation). This institution, which manages the world's most critical financial infrastructure, explicitly supported asset tokenization in 2025, allowing assets deposited in its system to circulate on public chains like Ethereum. This is akin to giving an official pass for the bridge between traditional finance and blockchain worlds.
Key regulatory milestones in 2026:
• January: Senate advances the Market Structure Act, ending the jurisdiction dispute between SEC and CFTC
• May 15: Fed Chair Powell's term ends; Trump may nominate a more dovish candidate
• July 1: California's Digital Financial Assets Law takes effect, establishing the regulatory framework for the largest US state
• July 18: Deadline for the GENIUS Act's supplementary rules, full stablecoin compliance
Regulation is no longer a barrier but a "pass" for trillion-dollar institutional capital to enter.
ETH Revaluation: From "Digital Oil" to Core Asset for Institutions
When infrastructure, applications, and regulation are all in place, ETH's value revaluation becomes inevitable.
Bitcoin's narrative is "digital gold"—a store of value. ETH's narrative is "digital oil"—not only fuel but the underlying asset of a new financial internet. Holding ETH is like holding equity, access rights, and fuel for the entire Ethereum ecosystem.
Data speaks volumes:
• In 2025, four "MicroStrategy-style" institutions collectively bought 4.5% of ETH's circulating supply (MicroStrategy's 3.2% Bitcoin holding already pushed BTC institutionalization)
• Tokenized assets grew from $6 billion to $18 billion, with 66% deployed on Ethereum
• Stablecoins reached $308 billion, with 60% on Ethereum network
• Layer2 ecosystem TVL surpassed $100 billion, with an annual growth rate of 400%
Analysts predict that in 2026, ETH will grow at least 5x, reaching a market cap of $2 trillion—comparable to Bitcoin today. This sounds aggressive, but if 20-30% of the $22.3 trillion circulating US dollars migrate to blockchain, and asset tokenization moves from experimentation to large-scale deployment, the fundamental revaluation of Ethereum's network value will occur.
Latest data as of January 15, 2026: ETH price hovers around $3,300, down 55% from the 2024 high, but exchange balances are at their lowest since 2018, with long-term holders (>1 year) accounting for 68.5%. This isn't a bear market feature but a typical signal of institutional accumulation.
2026 Predictions: A Thrilling Gamble
Market consensus on Ethereum is far from formed, and this is precisely the greatest opportunity.
Bullish camp (Bernstein, Ripple CEO, JPMorgan):
• 2026 BTC target $150,000–$180,000; if ETH/BTC ratio rebounds to 0.06, ETH could reach $10,800
• JPMorgan forecasts over $130 billion in crypto inflows in 2026, far exceeding 2025
• Bitwise predicts ETH will break its four-year cycle and hit new highs in 2026
Cautious camp (CryptoQuant, some institutions):
• If demand weakens, BTC could dip to $70,000 support, with ETH pressured to $2000–$2500
• Waiting for the implementation of the Market Structure Act and clearer Fed policies
Our view: 2026 will be Ethereum's "守正出奇" year.
• 守正 (Maintain the right course): Allocate 30% of your portfolio to ETH as a core asset to enjoy institutional benefits
• 出奇 (Seek innovation): Explore 10x opportunities in new tracks like Layer2 ecosystems (ARB, OP), RWA tokenization (MKR, COMP), AI agent tokens (FET, AGIX)
The critical point has arrived: which side of history are you on?
Ethereum in 2026 is very much like the internet in 1995.
Back then, the network cables were laid, browsers had just been born, and e-commerce was in its infancy, but few truly understood. Those who chose to believe and bet at that time became the rule-makers of the new world ten years later.
Today, Ethereum's infrastructure has been refined for a decade, institutions are voting with real money, regulation has shifted from obstacle to booster, and Layer2 makes customization possible—all the accumulated groundwork is now at a tipping point.
This isn't a surge driven by a specific event but a turning point where the entire ecosystem shifts from "possibility" to "inevitability." Just like the internet in 1995 transformed from a geek toy into a fundamental business infrastructure, Ethereum is experiencing its "Nvidia Moment": not because it suddenly got better, but because the world is finally ready.
Those who choose to bet heavily at this moment may look back years later and realize they were at the starting point of a paradigm shift.
💬 Interactive Topic: Do you think ETH can break $10,000 in 2026? Or will it oscillate around $3,000? Leave your judgment and reasons in the comments, and give a thumbs up.
📣 Call to Action: If you agree that "2026 is Ethereum's institutionalization year," please share this article with friends who are following crypto assets.
👤 Follow me for daily in-depth analysis of global asset allocation, and let's seize high-growth opportunities within certainty!
Risk Warning: The views expressed in this article are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile; please make decisions cautiously according to your risk tolerance.
#Gate广场创作者新春激励 $ETH
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#Gate广场创作者新春激励 The Three Major Changes in the Crypto Market and New Trends in 2026
Recent market anomalies behind the deep trends:
Trend 1: Fundamental shift in market structure - the end of the speculative retail-led cycle and the arrival of the institutional era:
• Net inflow of BTC on exchanges drops to a three-year low, indicating short-term speculators are exiting.
• Continuous outflow of Bitcoin from exchanges, with a single-day net outflow of 14,484 BTC.
• The market is transitioning from a retail-dominated cycle to institutional liquidity distribution.
Market narrative transformation:
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LanQiqiGevip
#我的2026第一条帖 Bitcoin hits a new high of $97,899! Ethereum fluctuates around $3,330. Is it a good time to buy the dip or sell at the top on January 15?
In-depth technical analysis: oscillations and breakthroughs under multi-timeframe resonance
(1) Bitcoin: consolidating with high-level oscillations, a breakout requires volume support. From a daily chart perspective, Bitcoin shows a stair-step upward pattern. On January 14, it closed with a bullish candle with upper and lower shadows, confirming a breakout of the key resistance zone at $95,000. The current price remains stably above the EMA30 ($93,006), with the EMA7 and EMA30 maintaining a golden cross. The 120-day moving average ($91,126) provides solid long-term support. The MACD indicator continues to expand, indicating a strong medium-term bullish trend. The 4-hour chart shows a high-level oscillation structure, with the price reaching a high of $97,899 after breaking previous highs, then slightly retreating to around $96,800. Technical indicators show that DIF and DEA remain in a bullish alignment, but the MACD histogram is shrinking, suggesting short-term bullish momentum is waning. Key resistance is concentrated in the $97,800–$98,000 range, which is both a previous high and an important psychological level, with noticeable selling pressure. Support levels include immediate support at $96,000, with further support at $95,000 and $93,400; the latter coincides with EMA30 and provides strong support. In the short term, Bitcoin is in a “confirmation stage after breakout.” If it can stabilize above $96,000 and volume supports, it may attempt to challenge the $98,000 resistance again. If it falls below $95,000, a correction toward $93,400 or even EMA30 is possible.
(2) Ethereum: mainly oscillating within a range, waiting for a breakout of key resistance on the daily chart. Currently, Ethereum is in a balanced state between bulls and bears, fluctuating around $3,300. Although it temporarily stays above short-term moving averages, it remains constrained by the dense resistance zone formed by the 50-day ($3,128), 100-day ($3,292), and 200-day ($3,342) moving averages. Multiple tests of this zone have failed to break through effectively, indicating heavy selling pressure above. The RSI is at 51.0, in a neutral zone, and the MACD is also neutral, not indicating a clear bullish or bearish trend, suggesting market buying and selling forces are relatively balanced. The 4-hour chart shows Ethereum maintaining a “higher lows” short-term upward structure. After bouncing from support at $3,280, it rose to around $3,402 and is now oscillating near $3,330. Key resistance is in the $3,390–$3,400 range, coinciding with recent rebound highs and Fibonacci retracement levels. Further resistance targets $3,450, the previous high in the range. Support levels include immediate support at $3,300, a recent low at $3,280, and a significant structural support at $3,100, which overlaps with the upper boundary of the previous consolidation zone. Technical patterns indicate Ethereum is in a “consolidation and accumulation phase.” The short-term trend depends on whether it can break through $3,400. If successful with increased volume, it could open room to rise toward $3,450. If it fails to break through, a correction back to the $3,300–$3,280 support zone is possible. Falling below $3,280 may lead to further decline toward $3,100.
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MarginTradingInstitutionsvip:
Hold on tight, we're about to take off 🛫
Bitcoin Latest Market Analysis + Support and Resistance Levels Sharing!!! #BTC $BTC
🚀 Charging towards the stars and the sea: Hold steady at 96,000, the 100,000 mark is within reach, and we’ve gained 7,800 points in this wave!
Latest Situation:
Recent New High Confirmation: Yesterday (Wednesday) afternoon, we were still discussing the possibility of breaking through 94,415, and last night, not only was the breakout confirmed, but the price also surged above 96,000. The current 96,431 indicates that BTC has fully entered the “Price Discovery” phase, with no historical accumulation above, only
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飞鱼2026祝福版vip
Bitcoin Latest Market Analysis + Support and Resistance Levels Sharing!!! #BTC $BTC
🚀 Charging towards the stars and the sea: Hold steady at 96,000, the 100,000 mark is within reach, and we’ve gained 7,800 points in this wave!
Latest Situation:
Recent New High Confirmation: Yesterday (Wednesday) afternoon, we were still discussing the possibility of breaking through 94,415, and last night, not only was the breakout confirmed, but the price also surged above 96,000. The current 96,431 indicates that BTC has fully entered the “Price Discovery” phase, with no historical accumulation above, only profit-taking and chasing buying.
Short Squeeze Continuation: The psychological barrier of 95,000 has been broken like paper, indicating that the bears have been thoroughly beaten or forced to close positions. The market is now dominated by FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) sentiment.
Asian Session Tasks: After last night’s surge, the Asian session is likely to see “high-level sideways correction.” The focus now is on holding the new platform at 95,500 - 96,000, to prepare for a push towards 98,000 - 100,000.
1. Support and Resistance Levels (Precise Calculation)
Short-term Support (1-3 days, Intraday)
95,800 - 96,000: Immediate intraday support. The early session’s pullback low is also the hourly support. If 96k can be held, it indicates a very strong trend and rejection of a pullback.
95,000 - 95,200: Strong support (psychological barrier). The just-broken integer level now becomes the “dignity line” for bulls.
94,415: Core bottom (top-bottom reversal). The previous historical high. This is currently the most solid and important defense level. Any pullback here is an opportunity to buy.
Medium-term Support (1-2 weeks, Swing)
92,500: The starting point of this breakout rally.
90,000: The absolute dividing line of the long-term trend.
88,000: Structural bottom.
Short-term Resistance (1-3 days)
97,200 - 97,500: Immediate resistance. Fibonacci extension (1.618) short-term pressure level, also the first target for intraday highs.
98,500: Strong resistance. The last hurdle before hitting 100,000, likely to see a large amount of profit-taking here.
99,900: The front line of the century mark. Expect a huge sell wall.
Medium-term Resistance (1-2 weeks)
100,000: Historic milestone.
105,000: The first phase target of the crazy bull market.
112,000: Mid- to long-term target.
2. Comprehensive Analysis and Best Entry Strategies
Overall View: The current 96,431 is in the “Main Bull Wave Acceleration” phase.
Bullish Strategy: The bull market is not over. During the price discovery phase, resistance levels are often easily broken. The strategy remains “buy on dips.” Focus on the validity of support at 95k-96k.
Bearish Strategy: Extremely risky. Although indicators are overbought, before reaching 100,000, shorting is like standing in front of a tank. Unless you are doing very short-term top fishing around 98k-99k, shorting is strictly prohibited.
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Customer Service, why do most trading transactions not work with the fee cashback coupons?
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YeFanvip:
Contact online customer service: App homepage - top left avatar icon - pop-up page click the top right corner 🎧 - "Can't find the answer, click here" - enter "manual" in the input box below - reply message select "Transfer to human" and choose the relevant issue.
Bitcoin Latest Market Analysis + Support and Resistance Levels Sharing!!! #BTC $BTC
🚨 Urgent Market Correction: 91,600 Fake Breakout (Bull Trap) Confirmed, Bulls Encounter "Trap"
Latest Situation:
诱多杀跌 (Fake Out to Trap Bulls): Just an hour ago (15:41), BTC was showing a "breakout upward" posture at 91,632, but within the following hour, it was violently sold off, dropping straight back to 90,423. This is a classic "Fakeout" or "Trap" market.
Market Sentiment Reversal: Long positions chasing gains above 91,500 were instantly trapped. The current decline not only wiped out the early gains of
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CryptoGoldminevip
#美国消费者物价指数发布在即 $BTC Good morning everyone!
With the US CPI data coming up, this wave of numbers will directly influence market sentiment. Whether it continues to build momentum or signals a turning point depends on how the data unfolds.
Many are waiting for this moment to make decisions—either to buy the dip and position themselves or to stay on the sidelines for now. What are your thoughts? Who holds the steering wheel of this market trend? Share your ideas; maybe we can explore the next opportunity together.
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SunshineSwallowvip:
Hold on tight, we're about to take off 🛫
#CryptoMarketWatch
As of January 2026, the cryptocurrency market is experiencing a recovery phase driven by technological momentum and institutional participation. Leading the pack are XRP, SOL, and DOGE, each reflecting different market dynamics and catalysts, combined with supply-demand relationships and narrative-driven positioning.
XRP: Breaks through $2.30
Recently, XRP broke through the $2.30 resistance level, a barrier that has limited this asset for years. This breakthrough reflects a convergence of supply scarcity, institutional capital inflows, and regulatory clarity.
Core Drivers:
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Yusfirahvip
#CryptoMarketWatch
As of January 2026, cryptocurrency markets are experiencing a resurgent phase, driven by both technical momentum and institutional participation. Leading the charge are XRP, SOL, and DOGE, each reflecting distinct market dynamics and catalysts that combine supply, demand, and narrative-driven positioning.
XRP: Breaching $2.30
XRP recently surpassed the $2.30 resistance level, a multi-year barrier that had historically constrained the asset. This breakout reflects a convergence of supply scarcity, institutional inflows, and regulatory clarity.
Core Drivers:
Exchange Supply Crunch
XRP balances on major exchanges are at multi-year lows. Limited circulating supply amplifies the impact of institutional purchases, particularly from newly listed Spot XRP ETFs, resulting in outsized price moves relative to trading volume.
Network Utility Growth
Daily transaction counts on the XRP Ledger are approaching 1 million, suggesting usage beyond speculative trading. Cross-border settlement and remittance activity are driving actual demand for XRP tokens, underpinning its breakout with fundamental support.
Regulatory Certainty – The GENIUS Act
Recent U.S. legislation has established a clear regulatory framework for stablecoins, crypto exchanges, and tokenized assets. XRP, positioned within this framework, benefits from enhanced institutional confidence, allowing capital that previously remained on the sidelines to flow in.
SOL: Testing All-Time Highs
Solana is demonstrating remarkable strength in 2026, driven by both technological execution and narrative adoption.
Catalysts:
“Internet Bond” Adoption: SOL’s blockchain is being increasingly used to tokenize real-world assets, particularly debt instruments, allowing for near-instant settlement and high-speed execution.
DeFi Growth & Ecosystem Expansion: Active DeFi protocols and high-value liquidity pools are reinforcing SOL as a core infrastructural asset.
ETF and Institutional Inflows: SOL’s inclusion in regulated products is drawing long-term capital seeking scalable exposure to blockchain innovation.
The combination of utility-driven adoption and financial inflows positions SOL for a potential re-test of previous all-time highs.
DOGE: Social-Driven Momentum
Dogecoin remains a retail-driven narrative asset, with surges closely tied to social trends and community engagement.
Key Observations:
On-chain metrics indicate a 3-month high in active addresses, suggesting retail participants are “front-running” anticipated meme cycles.
DOGE demonstrates high short-term beta, meaning traders are using it as both a speculative instrument and a hedged play against broader market moves.
Social sentiment analysis continues to correlate strongly with price volatility, reinforcing DOGE’s position as a community-led bellwether.
Why Lists and “Top Movers” Matter
In 2026, crypto information overload is a key challenge for market participants. Lists and structured top-mover breakdowns perform exceptionally well because:
Scannability: Traders seek actionable intelligence quickly — “Top 3” or “Top 5” movers convey immediate insights.
Direct Comparison: Allows for rapid evaluation of different ecosystems, such as XRP vs SOL vs ETH.
Algorithmic Amplification: Platforms like Gate Square favor high-engagement keywords (“Top,” “Best,” “Prediction”), enhancing reach and CTR.
These behavioral patterns are shaping content strategy in parallel with market strategy.
Macro & Market Drivers
The GENIUS Act
By providing an unprecedented regulatory framework for stablecoins, tokenized securities, and exchange operations, the GENIUS Act has unlocked institutional capital, creating a risk-on environment for high-conviction altcoins.
Capital Rotation
With Bitcoin stabilizing around key support levels, investors are rotating into assets offering higher beta and institutional clarity, such as XRP and SOL. ETFs and regulated vehicles are central to this flow, bridging retail and institutional participation.
Narrative Strength
XRP benefits from both utility and institutional narrative, SOL from execution and DeFi adoption, and DOGE from social and retail enthusiasm. The combination of narrative + fundamentals is key in differentiating winners from broader altcoin noise.
Strategic Outlook
XRP: Watch for support at $2.10–$2.20 in case of minor pullbacks. Institutional inflows and limited exchange supply suggest the breakout has sustainability potential.
SOL: Consolidation near ATHs is healthy; further accumulation around $130–$140 could trigger a new leg up if ETF and DeFi flows continue.
DOGE: Highly volatile; suitable for tactical trading rather than core allocation. Monitor social sentiment and active address metrics for trend confirmation.
Conclusion
The crypto market in January 2026 is a blend of institutional precision, retail-driven social cycles, and fundamental adoption. XRP, SOL, and DOGE are leading the resurgence, each representing a distinct layer of market participation:
XRP: Utility + institutional adoption
SOL: DeFi & infrastructure growth
DOGE: Social narrative and retail-driven beta
Discerning traders and investors should focus on structural support, narrative validation, and liquidity flows, rather than chasing noise.
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Myronsvip:
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Behind PEPE's Violent Surge of 65%: When "Smart Money" Starts Betting on Meme, Is It a Bubble Upgrade or a Paradigm Shift?#MEME, #2026行情预测
As leverage and consensus become the new narrative, the valuation logic of Meme coins is quietly being rewritten by institutions.
In the past week, the spotlight in the crypto market was stolen by a frog. PEPE surged against the trend by 65% amid Bitcoin's correction and Ethereum's weakness, with its on-chain open interest once reaching a historic peak of 75 trillion tokens. This is not a retail frenzy—data shows that a large number of high-leverage positi
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GateUser-02b5f211vip
PEPE's Violent Surge of 65%: When "Smart Money" Starts Betting on Meme, Is It a Bubble Upgrade or a Paradigm Shift?#MEME, #2026行情预测
As leverage and consensus become the new narrative, the valuation logic of Meme coins is quietly being rewritten by institutions.
In the past week, the crypto market spotlight was stolen by a frog. PEPE surged 65% against the trend amid Bitcoin's pullback and Ethereum's weakness, with its on-chain open interest once reaching a historic peak of 75 trillion tokens. This is not retail frenzy—data shows a large influx of high-leverage positions into this token born from a frog meme.
The "Meme season" seems to be ringing again. On the BSC chain, a Meme coin called "I'm Coming" surpassed $20 million in market cap within 24 hours, with a daily increase of over 63%. Meme communities on Ethereum, Solana, Base, and other public chains are reactivating, with discussion heat rising sharply.
But this time, the story has a subtle difference. Leverage funds, technical analysis, institutional-level narratives—these traditional financial market terms are being skillfully applied to Meme coins once considered "pure gambling." Is this the start of a new experiment, or a prelude to an even more dangerous bubble?
1. Data Decryption: Who Is Driving PEPE Up?
PEPE's rise is not untraceable. On-chain data shows its open interest peaked in early January, with a large number of high-leverage positions quietly accumulating before the price started to move.
• "This isn't retail behavior," independent analyst Tom Wong pointed out. "75 trillion in contract holdings requires professional fund management and risk control capabilities; ordinary investors find it hard to do."
• This phenomenon isn't new. Early 2024, when Dogecoin bottomed around $0.06, saw a 300% surge in open interest. Three months later, DOGE hit $0.22, up over 260%.
• PEPE's technical chart is also "perfect": the price broke out of a multi-month descending wedge, with the key support at $0.0000040 tested 8 times. Volume expanded during rallies and contracted during pullbacks—classic signs of institutional accumulation.
• "Meme coins are becoming 'institutionalized'," wrote Pantera Capital analyst in a recent report. "When hedge funds start trading Meme coins with derivatives, and technical analysis becomes effective on these tokens, we may need to redefine this asset class."
2. Ecosystem Evolution: From DOGE to PEPE, Three Generations of Meme
Meme coin development has gone through three distinct stages:
• First Generation: DOGE (Dogecoin) - Born in 2013, initially a joke, later propelled by Musk into a phenomenon token. Its core is "community faith" and "celebrity effect."
• Second Generation: SHIB (Shiba Inu) - Exploded in the 2021 bull market, attempting to shed the pure Meme label by building a "decentralized ecosystem" (ShibaSwap, Shibarium, etc.) towards "usefulness."
• Third Generation: PEPE as a representative - Returning to Meme essence but adding mature financial tools and trading strategies. Leverage, futures, technical analysis are standard, with the community proficient in financial play while maintaining Meme culture.
"SHIB tries to become serious, but PEPE tells us that admitting you're here to gamble is actually a form of sincerity," said CryptoKale, a well-known Meme coin researcher. "The new generation of traders no longer needs the 'use case' cover—they directly play with liquidity, volatility, and sentiment."
This shift is especially evident at the public chain level. Ethereum, Solana, BNB Chain, Base, and others have their leading Meme coins. Meme ecosystems across chains resemble an arms race, becoming key indicators of chain activity and community cohesion.
3. Risk Structure: The Leverage Tower of Babel
• Behind PEPE's frenzy, risks are also accumulating. Data shows about 60% of its open interest is over 20x leverage. This structure is like a castle built on quicksand—huge gains during upward moves, but once reversed, chain liquidations could cause a free fall.
• "Current social media sentiment index has reached 94 (out of 100), close to the peak level of Dogecoin in May 2021," warned Joe Vezzani, CEO of LunarCrush. "Historically, when Meme coins' sentiment hits such extremes, it often signals a short-term top."
• External risks cannot be ignored. The upcoming January FOMC meeting, uncertainties around Trump administration's crypto policies, and macro black swan events could burst the Meme bubble.
• The more fundamental issue is that Meme coins lack the intrinsic value anchors of traditional assets. "Their value is entirely based on collective belief, and belief is the most volatile thing in the world," said behavioral finance professor Richard Peterson. "Once newer, more interesting Memes emerge, funds will migrate without hesitation."
4. Investment Logic: How to Dance with Meme?
1. For investors wanting to join the game, strategies must be extremely clear and cautious:
• Top-tier strategy: Focus on proven leading Meme coins like DOGE, SHIB, PEPE. They have the best liquidity and strongest consensus, making them "relatively safe." Consider staggered entries during deep pullbacks, e.g., DOGE below $0.12, SHIB below $0.000007.
• Public chain strategy: Avoid directly buying high-risk Meme coins; instead, invest in their underlying chain tokens like SOL, BNB, ETH. The Meme craze boosts these chains' trading volume, users, and attention, offering a more stable value capture.
• Lottery strategy: If chasing new Meme coins, treat it as "lottery." Limit position size to no more than 5% of total portfolio, with strict stop-loss (e.g., -30%). Take profits quickly and only continue playing with gains.
Strict rules: Never use leverage, never trust "scientist calls," never chase highs during FOMO peaks, and never invest funds affecting your life.
5. Future Projections: Guessing the Endgame of Meme Coins
The future of Meme coins may head in three directions:
• Scenario 1: Cyclical Assets - Meme coins become crypto's "volatility providers," periodically performing in mid-to-late bull phases. Each frenzy leaves chaos behind, but the next cycle will come again. This is the most likely scenario.
• Scenario 2: Mainstream Assets - A few top Meme coins (like DOGE) gain recognition through ETFs and other mainstream financial products, becoming part of alternative asset allocations. This requires regulatory breakthroughs and institutional backing, with lower probability but possible.
• Scenario 3: Bubble Burst - Regulatory crackdown or a catastrophic collapse destroys market confidence, causing Meme culture to fade from crypto mainstream. Given their resilient community, this scenario has the lowest probability.
"No matter the outcome, Meme coins have proven that narratives and communities in the digital age are a form of asset," summarized a16z crypto partner Chris Dixon. "The question isn't whether they have 'intrinsic value,' but whether we're ready to understand this new form of value."
When PEPE's candlestick chart begins to be taken seriously by technical analysts, when hedge funds allocate leverage to Meme coins, and when the "sentiment index" becomes a decision reference— the game rules of Meme coins have changed. This is no longer an amateur playground but a new table for professional gamblers.
The frog PEPE's surge is just the beginning. As more institutional funds and financial tools enter this space, Meme coin volatility will intensify, narratives will become more complex, and risks and opportunities will be amplified. The only constant is: in this game of pure emotion and liquidity, the last to leave are always the ones paying.
Markets reward narratives but favor clarity even more. In the Meme frenzy, is your position fuel for emotion or a rational bet? Remember, in crypto markets, most profits come from patience and catching a few key trends, not frequent trading on every hot spot. Meme market moves fast—faster than you think. When everyone is talking on the streets, it's usually the end.
6. If you really feel itchy, you can place your orders and then forget about them completely.
General principle: Treat Meme coin investing as "lottery" or "risk hedging," not "value investing." Limit positions to no more than 5% of total funds. Focus your main energy and capital on the genuine value discovery and trend strategies we discussed earlier.
Option A: Focus on absolute leaders (moderate odds, higher probability)
1. Split 5% into two parts.
2. Use limit orders: place buy orders at DOGE $0.10-0.12, SHIB $0.000006-0.000007.
3. If filled, set stop-loss at 20% below purchase price.
Logic: Bet on the return of the old kings. They have the strongest survival ability and brand effect, and will perform in bull markets.
Risk: Long-term consolidation possible, very low capital efficiency.
Option B: Chase hot new Meme coins (high odds, very low probability)
1. Split 5% into three parts.
2. Never chase highs. Only pick 1-2 new Meme coins with strong communities and deep liquidity (not PEPE or already surged coins).
3. During the first deep correction after a volume spike (-30% or more), invest the first 50U. Strictly set a -30% stop-loss.
4. Take profits quickly and only continue playing with gains.
Logic: Play for ultra-high elasticity. Similar to the performance of BSC coins in dynamic B scenarios.
Risk: Highest risk of zeroing out, liquidity may evaporate instantly.
Option C: Indirect participation via mainstream coins (lowest risk)
Do not buy Meme coins directly. Use this part of the funds to increase holdings of SOL or BNB.
Logic: Meme hype will bring huge trading activity, gas consumption, and attention to their underlying chains, directly benefiting chain tokens. This is a safer, more sustainable way to capture value.
Strictly prohibited actions:
Trust any "wealth code" or "scientist calls."
Chasing high on the day of rapid rise or during extreme FOMO (e.g., social sentiment index 94).
Using leverage or funds affecting your life.
7. Final Advice and Mindset Management
Currently, it is strongly recommended to stay on the sidelines.
• Not the right time: A sustainable Meme boom requires BTC, ETH, and other core assets to have clearly entered a phase of accumulation after a confirmed bull pattern, with abundant market liquidity. Conditions are not yet ripe.
• Low cost-effectiveness: PEPE and similar tokens have already surged sharply in the short term; risk/reward ratio is poor. DOGE and SHIB are still struggling at the bottom, with uncertain timing for revival.
• Protect principal: In the early bull phase, safeguarding principal and core holdings (BTC, ETH, quality altcoins like UNI) is more important than chasing high-risk volatility.
Please note: This content is compiled from public market analysis and historical data, intended for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Crypto markets are highly volatile; any investment decision should be based on independent research.
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BTC potentially surging to 100k-150k or even higher?
Driving factors include institutional adoption, regulatory friendliness (continuation of the Trump era), and mainstreaming of stablecoins.
🌅Institutions are "turning over," macro factors are "waiting for the wind"
"The market is not waiting for good news, but for direction. The entry of Morgan Stanley and the outflow from spot ETFs happen simultaneously, which is a typical institutional turnover period: smart money is positioning for the next battlefield (BTC, ETH, SOL), while panic money is being washed out of Bitcoin."
📊Market Dashboard
BTC-0,2%
ETH-0,35%
SOL1,58%
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Mr.Block58vip
BTC potentially surges to 100k-150k or even higher?
Driving factors include institutional adoption, regulatory friendliness (continuation of the Trump era), and mainstreaming of stablecoins.
🌅 Institutions are "turning over," macro is "waiting for the wind"
"The market is not waiting for good news; it is waiting for direction. Morgan Stanley's entry and the outflow from spot ETFs happen simultaneously, which is a typical institutional rotation period: smart money is positioning for the next battleground (BTC, ETH, SOL), while panic money is being washed out of Bitcoin."
📊 Market Dashboard
BTC: $91,000 (-0.2%) | Support $90,000 / Resistance $94,000
ETH: $3,100 (-2.1%) | Support $3,050 / Resistance $3,200
Key Indicators:
📉 ETF Funds: Fidelity (FBTC) outflows of $312 million in a single day, offsetting BlackRock's buying.
⚖️ Policy Risks: The market awaits the Supreme Court's final ruling on Trump’s "tariff policy," with risk aversion slightly increasing.
🔍 Daily Focus|Wall Street's New Battleground: SOL
Event: Morgan Stanley (Morgan Stanley) officially submits ETF registration applications for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana. Why it matters:
Breaking the duopoly: This is the first top-tier investment bank openly betting on SOL, signaling that the "Big Three" crypto narratives are entering Wall Street's view.
Proactive move: Morgan Stanley is not acting as a distributor this time but is directly issuing products through its Investment Management division, with plans to include "staking" features.
Funding Scenario:
Short-term: SOL gains strong backing, potentially leading to outflows from ETH.
Risk: SEC approval for "staking ETFs" remains uncertain; rejection could trigger short-term pullbacks.
📰 Top News|Key Information
1️⃣ ETF buying momentum stalls, selling pressure emerges. Fidelity (FBTC) leads redemptions, with net outflows expanding to $243 million. Profit-taking above $94,000 is very strong, and there is a lack of short-term breakout momentum.
2️⃣ New regulatory front: It is predicted that the market will face bans. U.S. Democratic Congressman Ritchie Torres proposes the "2026 Financial Prediction Market Integrity Act," aiming to prohibit federal officials from participating in prediction markets (such as Polymarket), which could trigger a new wave of regulatory scrutiny over prediction platforms.
3️⃣ Banking sector targets stablecoins: The American Bankers Association (ABA) writes to the Senate warning that the "GENIUS Act" has loopholes, fearing unregulated stablecoin issuers offering high yields through "collateralized staking" could drain bank deposits.
4️⃣ Macro shadow: The Supreme Court is about to rule on Trump’s tariff policies, which will directly impact the dollar's trend and global liquidity. Bitcoin is currently consolidating around $91k , reflecting macroeconomic uncertainty pricing in.
💡 Risk Radar|Risk Radar
⚠️ Liquidity Trap: If BTC remains in the $90k-$92k range with decreasing volume, beware of "painting the door" declines during weekend liquidity crunch.
⚠️ Altcoin Leverage: Despite a market correction, some altcoin contract holdings (OI) are not decreasing but increasing, often a precursor to chain reactions of liquidations. Avoid high-leverage longs.
📝 TL;DR|Trader's Memo
Morgan Stanley's application for SOL ETF is a long-term super bullish signal, but short-term ETF outflows should not be ignored.
Main risk sources shift to "Washington": Tariff rulings, prediction market bans, stablecoin legislation.
Not Financial Advice: Market sentiment is mixed, volatility is increasing, watch out for leverage management.
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Hello everyone, GateAI is officially launched today.
Thinking back to when I first entered the crypto market, I was full of expectations for those seemingly "smart" tools, but after using them, I realized that the most important thing is not the flashy features of those tools themselves, but the "assistants" that can truly help us clarify our thinking and understand the risks.
Over the years, I have gradually realized that many tools in the market provide "answers," but very few truly help us understand and judge. Therefore, our team decided to do something different: let the tools help you cl
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KevinLeevip
Hello everyone, GateAI is officially launched today.
Thinking back to when I first entered the crypto market, I was full of expectations for those seemingly “smart” tools, but after using them, I realized that the most important thing is not the flashy features of those tools themselves, but the "assistants" that can truly help us clarify our thinking and understand the risks.
Over the years, I have gradually realized that many tools in the market provide “answers,” but very few actually help us understand and judge. Therefore, our team decided to do something different: let the tools help you clarify your thoughts, rather than make decisions for you.
I believe that, especially for beginners, taking it slow but steady is often more important. The market changes too quickly; stability and transparency are what we need most. So, the core idea of GateAI is: help you do things, rather than do things for you.
Of course, your feedback is also very important to us. We welcome everyone to give suggestions and help make this tool more user-friendly.
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Well said. This kind of growth is not accidental — it is the result of long-term commitment, execution, and community trust. Looking forward to seeing Gate continuously strengthen its ecosystem and bring Web3 into everyday applications. Keep moving forward and reach new heights 🚀 Well said. This kind of growth is not accidental — it is the result of long-term commitment, execution, and community trust. Looking forward to seeing Gate continuously strengthen its ecosystem and bring Web3 into everyday applications. Keep moving forward and reach new heights 🚀
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KevinLeevip
Looking back on this year, we have continuously created miracles. The number of users is about to surpass 50 million, spot and futures trading are steadily increasing, and many product lines have shifted from "in development" to "operational." These changes are not accidental but the result of sustained investment.
We are not only focused on trading but also constantly improving on-chain features, yields, community engagement, and other aspects, gradually forming a virtuous cycle. Gate's ecosystem is continuously evolving, and more and more people are using it as a long-term platform, actively participating.
Next, we will continue to refine our existing strengths, do what needs to be done well, and gradually integrate Web3 into everyone's daily life. In the new year, let's move forward steadily together and keep building.
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Credit cards can stay in touch with mobile athletes, all first and enough to use. Check out the maternity pants, copying shop, haircut, rich oh rich oh, Fulu Drink, Song Yu, husband, forensic doctor, crazy concubine, add today’s laundry, Longgang Road. Only then do we have today’s education system, hard work, Yichu Lotus, brutal game, his grandpa, negative inventory, is it delicious? Can learn, reference, reference, get sick after eating, small chicken leg, camera.
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DominanceWillMakeYouvip
January 4, 2026, 10:43 AM - Let's chat
Weekend always feels so lazy. About three years ago, before I fully dedicated my energy to becoming a KOL, my biological clock often couldn't tell day from night, date from weekday. In the past two years, since starting to be a KOL, I’ve grown to love weekends more—spending time with family and watching my child grow day by day. It feels like the happiest thing in life!
Weekend isn’t just about not streaming; it’s also a necessary rest for your health! It’s also a time for family companionship. You can’t be too “pure and spotless”!
This week, not many orders, but all profitable. The first half of the week continued the recent two-week volatile trend. On New Year’s Eve, it started to rise and broke through the upper limit of the past two weeks’ oscillation. The market bullish sentiment finally burst out uncontrollably. The timing was perfect—just during a global rest period, with more leisure time, high attention, and exposure. Even the market makers are good at choosing the right days!
BTC support/resistance levels: 100300 / 92000-94225 / 90600 / 86670 / 83960
Last night, it surged to a high of 91597, almost touching 92000. The bullish trend is undeniable. If you don’t hold a core position at 87315, you’ve completely missed this rally!
ETH support/resistance levels: 3400 / 3170 / 3035 / 2915 / 2843 / 2749
Yesterday morning, I mentioned checking if there was momentum to hit 3170. It hit a high of 3166—definitely bullish momentum. The weekend could continue to push new highs. Bullish sentiment remains strong!
DOGE support/resistance levels: 0.08 / 0.1 / 0.1145 / 0.13 / 0.1515-0.18
Dogecoin is even more impressive. The remaining core positions could earn 15 times. Only a slight hesitation away from 0.1515. I definitely won’t sell this core position; as long as the trend doesn’t change, I’ll hold and fight to the end!
Trading advice: Weekends without trading systems are a great time for learning. You can try a small 0.5% position with stop-loss to test your trading plan, develop your trading skills. Low volatility weekends are perfect for learning.
Many people say they didn’t leave any core positions in this wave—don’t panic. The secondary market is never short of opportunities. The key is whether you dare to take action when the next opportunity comes. When the next battle arrives, will you deploy your troops with a backup plan (buying and selling in batches, with measured entries and exits), or will you still throw everything in at once? Whether you blow up your account depends on luck!
Trading is fundamentally a probability game. You can analyze everything, but you’ll never have 100% certainty. Market evolution is influenced by many factors, but ultimately it’s a game between retail traders and big players—zero-sum. Everyone wants to profit, but only the last survivor makes the most. Whether your assets skyrocket or plummet, it’s just a numbers game!
Let’s go, 2026, young guns! My consistent philosophy: steady progress, daily accumulation, small gains add up, fewer losses, as steady as an old dog—achieving steady asset growth is the true way!
#我的2026第一条帖 $BTC $GT $ETH
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Kugou uses mobile, oh, do you understand a little, rich, oh, Feilu rough contact card medical statistics, a bit of galvanized rough traveler, both thin and long, Buddha gather payment, old Buddha. The whole journey promotes powder puff benefits, buy once, a mouthful of fetal heart monitor, Chang Yu, no movies, only free time game zone, ladder, no Jade Buddha Garden, no onion, dudu, subway, colleagues just drove, oh, creative experience once.
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飞鱼2026祝福版vip
Finally seeing the returns. Continuing to hold... Striving to push it up in Q1 💪💪💪$ETH #ETH
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ID Datang Group's first piece of content, caring and encouraging, this idea is a pure land where laundry can be sent and received. The courier's first impression. Check once a month for the first delivery, Tasso, you can refer to it when you have time to think about the next meal. Speak wildly to broaden your horizons. Once, you can discharge from the hospital, and reference the stock cars for driving.
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KevinLeevip
That's a wrap! This is my year-end message for 2025 on behalf of the entire Gate team!
Wishing everyone a booming 2026, good health, and interesting days! (No more staying up late watching the markets, your hair is almost as empty as your wallet haha~)
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Compound fertilizer has several richer advertisements, v, same housing authority, crown couple, hot advertising, v, quirky style, just look at ii in the same room, Republic of Congo, brother who ate, just went home for a long holiday and didn't return v, drink well, eat well, haha, okay vvvvv repetitive methods, quirky style, just finished eating, it's okay, okay, haha.
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StablecoinArbitrageurvip
Eightco Holdings, the asset management company of the Worldcoin ecosystem, announced a major development — the board has officially approved a share repurchase program with a maximum scale of up to $125 million. What does this mean? In simple terms, Eightco, which holds more than 10% of the circulating WLD supply, is increasing its stake with real funds.
From a market perspective, this move sends two signals. First, the project team is confident in its future development prospects; second, supported by several leading institutions, this repurchase helps stabilize market expectations. How the WLD ecosystem is progressing and how this repurchase will influence future trends still require ongoing attention.
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$GlobalVillage$vip:
Compound fertilizer sister praises Aoi Sora vv darkening shares send maiden Miyazaki passes Hangu Pass alright Phoenix girl eats after shipment.
Feng Huguang Fu just had a meal at Auntie's house, how many femur lengths, and Hanju hotpot noodles with a groin canal just right, results are very good, still with gullies and ravines, v Chagan Lake is very good, work hard. Just passing by the Fafa Sweat Weight Loss Method National Bureau v shout slogans loudly, Crown Couple is very delicious, hurry up and get married v pay after, send a v to show good results.
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GateUser-359869e7vip
An excellent businessman first makes a wave of believers and followers, earning some money, then reaps the profits back; first lets the middle class have some earnings or hope, then extinguishes that hope; first creates some dreams in the market, then snatches away the last straw from the poor; Zhang Dingwen really knows how to play! Using narratives to harvest the market, using data to harvest institutions and groups, it's actually quite impressive or rather boastfully impressive. Just a casual chat, sticking to the facts. Maybe one day, with a conscience, he will truly target BNB. Different people have different views, each to their own.
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$GlobalVillage$vip:
Intentionally playing a few rounds of cuju, the lonely aunt feels very pure, lonely KB corrupt drama, Gucci corrupt drama, quickly reply, just got married, looks good vv white lily.
Du Yu repeatedly Xu Di it Yang sweeping the floor mopping the floor Fei Tian Cong Yun Restaurant exercises washing hair checking the map reminding the same happiness and liking you to apprentice disciples planning bureau environment is good annoying fever relief sandwich with tenderloin marrow nail shoe rack historical work wife wife I miss you! I Zhang. His aunt aunt iv, sentence Yu Yu Ou gather auxiliary road project, gather some fruits, oh yo it's it.
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SunnyOkvip
Market Status: Are the Bulls Dominant?
Currently, the market is in the "short-term oversold rebound followed by bulls attempting to regain dominance" phase.
1. Support Confirmation: The 4-hour and 1-hour charts show that ETH has formed a clear double bottom or support stabilization in the 2886-2900 range.
2. Indicator Resonance:
• 1-hour/4-hour charts: Price has successfully broken through the middle band (BOLL) of the Bollinger Bands, MACD has completed a golden cross below the 0 line and started to expand, a typical rebound initiation signal.
• Daily chart: Price has retested the daily middle band (around 2939) and closed higher, indicating that the overall upward trend logic remains intact.
3. Conclusion: Bulls are favored in the short term. As long as the price stays above 2940 (4h middle band), upward momentum will continue.
II. Profit-taking Target Suggestions
My cost basis is at 2900, and the current floating profit is very comfortable. I will take profits in stages:
• First target (TP1): 3000 - 3010
• Psychological level and near previous high on 15-minute/1-hour charts. Upon reaching this, reduce position by 30%-50% and move stop-loss to the entry price (break-even).
• Second target (TP2): 3060 - 3080
• This is the upper band resistance level of the daily Bollinger Bands. If the market volume breaks through 3000, it is likely to test this level.
• Third target (TP3): 3200+
• A medium to long-term target, depending on whether major positive news supports a breakout above 3100.
【Strategy Sharing】 ETH retests support confirmation, has the bulls' rally horn sounded?
Trading Direction: Long
Entry Price: 2900 (position established)
Profit-taking targets: 3000 / 3070 / 3200
Stop-loss setting: 2870 (stop if it falls below the previous low)
Trade Entry Idea:
1. Technical support: ETH, after retesting the 2880-2900 support zone on the 4-hour level, shows a clear stabilization pattern, with bottom volume starting to rebound.
2. Indicator recovery: 4-hour MACD has completed a bottom golden cross, KDJ is diverging upward, and the price has effectively broken above the middle bands of the 1-hour and 4-hour Bollinger Bands, signaling a shift from weak to strong.
3. Major trend analysis: The daily retest of the middle band support is effective, and the overall upward channel remains unbroken. Currently, it is in the stage of secondary rally after retesting, with an excellent risk-reward ratio.
⚠️ Risk Reminder: Approaching the 3000 level may cause volatility. It is recommended to move the stop-loss to the entry price after reaching the first target to lock in profits!
#ETH #以太坊 #交易策略 #GatePost
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$GlobalVillage$vip:
Local passing through Hangu Pass vvvuvuuvviv watching v局 picking up children from school oh wow Cape Verde rough worker original selection direction machine wash laundry Sisyphus yo clothes human race practice breakthrough exam
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