Bitcoin’s Short-Term Bubble Risk (Price / 20W SMA) is approaching 1. Historically, when BTC stays below this level for a prolonged period and then reclaims it, the subsequent move tends to be volatile to the upside. Current key resistance sits around $102K. This is a level worth watching very closely.
Will the Supreme Court decision on Trump tariffs flip the smart money bearishness to bullishness? Markets indicate a 70-75% chance of ruling against them.
January will likely decide whether Bitcoin confirms a bear market or rebuilds momentum for the next leg of the bull cycle. I just published a new blog breaking down: • why Nov–Dec were structurally weak • what volume and risk data are signaling • the key January catalysts that actually matter Read it here 👇
Bitcoin’s 100-Week SMA has acted as structural support since Nov ’22. BTC is currently oversold, and as long as the 100W SMA holds, conditions favour a bounce in the near term.
The crypto market is changing right in front of our eyes and most people are not noticing. Take Bitcoin. Its price action is no longer driven by “the market”. It is dominated by a handful of huge whales who still believe Bitcoin must obey the old prophecy that the cycle always tops in Q4 of the post-halving year. Because of this belief, they are applying immense selling pressure. What we are witnessing is the largest transfer of Bitcoin wealth in history from OG whales to institutions and retail. At the same time, the world is shifting: • The UAE openly embraces Bitcoin. • ETFs keep growing th
Ultra-whales (10k–100k BTC) have been dumping holdings for over two years since November 21, 2022 (red arrow 📉). The tide turned on October 12, 2025, and they are now accumulating (blue arrow 📈). When the market panics, these whales seem to wake up.
November closed deep red. 🩸 Now the big question: Will December bring the green candles and a Santa Rally, or are we in for more pain? 🎅📉 What’s your prediction for $BTC? 👇
I am more excited for Bitcoin to break a new all-time high in 2026, not for the price but to finally break the 4-year cycle prophecy. When it happens, the market structure narrative will change forever.