Arthur Hayes: Why His Zcash (ZEC) Allocation Target Isn’t Met Yet — $300–$350 Range May Be Key for Accumulation

ZEC and Arthur Hayes: Background Overview

Arthur Hayes, founder of the crypto trading platform BitMEX, is a major influencer in the digital asset industry. Recently, he promoted the privacy coin Zcash (ZEC) to the second-largest asset in his family office portfolio, right behind Bitcoin, and has repeatedly voiced his bullish stance on ZEC tokens across social media.

ZEC is a cryptocurrency focused on transaction privacy and optional transparency. Unlike mainstream coins such as Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), ZEC aims to strike a balance between privacy and auditability, which has sparked renewed market interest in recent years.

For more information, visit the official ZEC website: https://z.cash/

Current Market Dynamics: ZEC Price and Allocation Status

Image: https://x.com/CryptoHayes/status/1988426536395956694

Hayes stated on X that his ZEC holdings remain just below his targeted allocation: “I’m still slightly below my target $ZEC invested capital. Maybe if we dip to $300-$350 I’ll add more.” During the second half of 2025, ZEC surged dramatically—from the $200 range up to a peak near $750. The token experienced significant daily volatility. Despite this strong rally, technical indicators flagged the risk of a pullback, and by November 13, 2025, ZEC had corrected to around $500.

Why Hayes Sets His Accumulation Zone at $300–$350

Image: https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/zcash/

Hayes’s rationale for choosing the $300–$350 range as his accumulation trigger is based on several factors:

• Strategic profit-taking and rebalancing: A price correction after a high is seen as an optimal entry point. Hayes emphasizes timed entries rather than chasing spikes.
• Cost control and capital allocation: Buying in lower price ranges improves overall portfolio cost and stability.
• Anticipated value re-rating for privacy coins: Hayes contends that ZEC’s scarcity and long-term value within privacy coins are still underestimated, and current prices may have further upside potential.

Investment Logic Breakdown: Privacy Coins + Long-Term Positioning

• Growing demand for privacy: As regulation intensifies, transaction privacy is a top priority for many users. ZEC’s “selective transparency” sets it apart from fully anonymous coins, enhancing compliance prospects.
• First-mover advantage for large capital: Public endorsements from investors like Hayes can sway market sentiment and establish ZEC as a trusted asset, drawing more institutional attention.
• Risk pricing mechanisms: Privacy coins are often seen as “high regulatory risk.” As risk mitigation strategies mature, new opportunities for value re-rating may arise.

Risk Considerations: Price Correction, Regulation, and Technical Concerns

• Correction risk: Technical analysis indicates that ZEC is currently “overheated,” with a substantial risk of a downward correction.
• Regulatory risk: Privacy coins could face stricter oversight or outright bans in certain jurisdictions, with policy shifts directly impacting asset prices.
• Project execution and ecosystem risk: While ZEC has a solid track record, the privacy coin ecosystem still lags behind mainstream networks, and its long-term value remains subject to market validation.

Insights for Retail Investors: How to Assess Similar Opinions Rationally

• Treat Arthur Hayes’s views as a reference, not a blueprint: His accumulation zone is tailored to his own capital, objectives, and risk appetite—and may not suit every investor.
• Establish your own investment criteria: If bullish on ZEC, set your loss limits, target allocation, and accumulation triggers according to your circumstances.
• Diversify your holdings and manage risk: Even with privacy coins’ potential, avoid going all-in. Build a diversified portfolio and maintain liquidity.
• Continuously monitor strategy and market shifts: Hayes’s allocation, market sentiment, and regulatory trends can all change—so investment decisions should be regularly reviewed.