Today, the crypto market and the US stock market showed a slight decline. The reason for this is mainly influenced by the geopolitical measures of the beautiful country. The U.S. Embassy in Iraq is preparing to evacuate, and at the same time, the U.S. State Department's authorized personnel are leaving a number of countries in the Middle East, a series of actions that send a strong signal of escalation of geopolitical risks. Driven by risk aversion, investors opted to sell assets in the short term, which led to downward pressure on BTC and U.S. stock prices. However, it is worth noting that despite the decline in the market, there are no obvious signs of panic selling in either the US stock market or the crypto market. In the case of BTC, investor sentiment remains stable. This is evidenced by the decline in turnover data, which means that long-term funds are not deterred by short-term geopolitical fluctuations, but continue to hold BTC, showing their unwavering bullishness on the long-term value of BTC. From a macro perspective, geopolitical risks tend to be uncertain and sudden, causing disruption to financial markets in the short term. However, for BTC, as an emerging digital asset, it has gradually shown some resilience after experiencing many market fluctuations. The current stable position of long-term funds provides a bottom support for the BTC price, and also suggests that the market is still confident in the future trend of BTC. In terms of U.S. stocks, although they are also affected by geopolitical risks, with their mature market system and strong economic fundamentals, they are expected to gradually return to their original operating track after digesting geopolitical risks.

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Bitcoin's 4-hour chart is currently maintaining a range-bound consolidation trend, and yesterday's price failed to extend its upward attack to break through the highs, and instead entered a contraction consolidation phase. Judging from the hourly chart, Bollinger Dow is in a state of closing, indicating that the short-term volatility of the market will narrow, and there is a high probability of a sideways correction around the middle band of Bollinger Dow in the evening. Next, it is necessary to pay attention to the strength of the consolidation in the adjustment process, the strong consolidation is manifested as a sideways price shock, while the weak consolidation will be accompanied by a certain space retracement. There is a significant divergence of the moving average indicator, which is an important signal for the market to turn around, and the short-term need to be wary of the trend of falling after the price probes high. Bitcoin itself has a large fluctuation base, and once the adjustment trend is established, the retracement space should not be underestimated. In terms of operation strategy, in view of the current range-bound consolidation pattern, there are profit opportunities for selling high and buying low. In the evening, it is recommended to wait for the price retracement to confirm the validity of the support, if it can stabilize in the range of 106500 - 106000, and there is a stop down K-line pattern (such as doji, hammer), you can lay out a long order in this range, the stop loss is set below 105800, the target is first to see the Bollinger Dow near 107500, if it breaks through this position, you can further look at 108500. If the price fails to stabilize within the expected range and breaks down, you need to abandon your long position plan and wait for new trading opportunities or adjust your strategy according to the actual trend.

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The trend of Ethereum is also a little weaker, after breaking through 2800 yesterday, it is also a retracement today, and the lowest is a small rebound to 2731. In the current fast-paced market volatility, the card is not allowed to magnify the loss in the middle line, the weekly line even after the yang again into the doji adjustment, but this time the doji up and down the space is larger, the change or continuation of the signal is still to be determined, although the daily line in the recent bull market has a negative line adjustment but is basically a broken yin adjustment, and this time is directly into the yin adjustment, and although there is a rebound but the second dip has engulfed the space, with the formation of the yin also announced that it has officially entered the adjustment stage, the small cycle began to rebound after confirming the support , but the overall rebound space is still not large, changing the pattern of strong and slow rise, today's short-term first look at the rebound and then adjust the short. #Alpha 积分节12期开启 #稳定币GENIUS法案新进展 #DeFi借贷TVL历史新高