#Bitcoin Market Update

Stock market information for Bitcoin (BTC)
Bitcoin is a crypto in the CRYPTO market.
The price is 110643.0 USD currently with a change of -507.00 USD (-0.00%) from the previous close.
The intraday high is 111295.0 USD and the intraday low is 110017.0 USD.

Bitcoin Market Update Deep Dive (as of Sep 7, 2025)
1) Where we are now
Price & momentum:
BTC is hovering around $110–112K after a soft first week of September. Liquidity is thin intraday but still orderly; pullbacks are being bought above the six-figure round number. Recent headlines have it in this range over the weekend as well. 

2) Macro driver check
Jobs & the Fed: The U.S. added 22K jobs in August and the unemployment rate rose to 4.3%, materially below expectations and pushing markets to price a September rate cut. This is the key macro tailwind for risk assets into mid-September. 

Next catalysts:
CPI (Aug): Thu, Sep 11, 8:30 a.m. ET.

FOMC:
Sep 16–17 (with dot-plot/press conference).A benign CPI + a dovish Fed is the strongest combo for BTC in the near term. (Bureau of Labor Statistics, Federal Reserve)

3) Flows & positioning
U.S. spot ETF flows: Mixed but improving net inflows over the four sessions into Sep 5 even as daily prints whipsawed (e.g., Sep 4 saw outflows). Watch this week’s prints for confirmation. 

Perp funding & OI:
Funding is mostly positive across major venues, indicating a long bias in perps fine while price trends higher, but it raises liquidation risk on sharp dips.

4) On-chain & mining
Security/throughput: Network hashrate is hovering around ~1 ZH/s (1,000+ EH/s) near record territory signaling robust miner competition even post-halvin

Supply dynamics:
The April 2024 halving (block 840,000) continues to compress new issuance; structurally bullish over multi-month horizons.

5) Seasonality & context
Historically, September is BTC’s weakest month on average, though it printed green in 2023 and 2024. This year’s setup adds a macro-cut narrative that can offset some of that seasonality but it’s still a headwind to respect.

6) Key levels I’m watching (spot)
Support: $108K–$107K (late-Aug/early-Sep pivot), then $105K, and the big psychological $100K.
Resistance: $114K–$116K (supply from last week), then $120K (breakout magnet) and $125K
(Levels are based on recent swing highs/lows, HVN/round-number confluence, and where liquidations cluster; reassess intraday as structure evolves.)
7) Playbook (not financial advice)
A) If you’re a spot investor (swing, 2–8 weeks):

Base case (probable):
CPI not hot + 25 bps cut on Sep 17 → buy dips into $107–$108K with a stop below $105K, initial TP near $118–$120K; trail if momentum builds.

Risk case:
CPI surprise or hawkish dots → wait for $100–$102K liquidity sweep; scale in only on reclaim of $105K and improving ETF flow prints.

B) If you trade perps (days–weeks):
Longs:
Only add on pullbacks to support while funding stays modest. Keep tight invalidation (<$105K) to avoid funding bleed.

Hedges:
Into CPI/FOMC, consider short-dated put hedges or reduced leverage. Rising OI + positive funding makes downside wicks violent.

Fade setups:
If we pop into $118–$120K without fresh ETF inflows, look for bearish divergences to fade back toward $114K.

C) For systematic allocators:
Run a 2-tier DCA into the Fed:
50% pre-CPI, 50% post-CPI/FOMC only if price > $108K and ETF net flows are positive day-over-day.
8) What would change my view

Bullish upgrade:
Back-to-back positive ETF inflows, a soft CPI, and a clean reclaim/hold above $116K with rising spot volumes. Targets: $120K → $125K → $132K.

Bearish downgrade:
CPI upside surprise or Fed signals fewer/farther cuts plus daily ETF outflows; loss of $105K opens a $100K test.

Quick risk checklist for the week
Data:
CPI (Sep 11), jobless claims (Sep 11). Policy: FOMC (Sep 16–17).
Market tells:
ETF net flow print by day, perp funding ticking up, and OI spikes into events.
On-chain:
No major stress;
hashrate and fees normalizing;
miners still distributing opportunistically but within historical ranges.