Today, the focal point of the markets is the US CPI ( data. The inflation data can directly affect expectations regarding the Fed's interest rate path.
📊 Expectation: A monthly increase of approximately 0.3% – an annual increase of around 2.7% is expected. If the data remains within this range, the markets may support the "soft landing" scenario.
💡 Bitcoin )BTC( is currently around $111,146. If the data comes in low, the likelihood of an interest rate cut will increase, and an upward reaction may be seen in BTC and risky assets. However, if the data comes in high, short-term profit-taking may accelerate.
💬 In my view, the market is currently prepared for every possible scenario, but volatility is inevitable. After the CPI announcement, the first 30 minutes will be determined not by direction, but by the reaction speed.
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#CPIDataIncoming
Today, the focal point of the markets is the US CPI ( data. The inflation data can directly affect expectations regarding the Fed's interest rate path.
📊 Expectation:
A monthly increase of approximately 0.3% – an annual increase of around 2.7% is expected.
If the data remains within this range, the markets may support the "soft landing" scenario.
💡 Bitcoin )BTC( is currently around $111,146.
If the data comes in low, the likelihood of an interest rate cut will increase, and an upward reaction may be seen in BTC and risky assets.
However, if the data comes in high, short-term profit-taking may accelerate.
💬 In my view, the market is currently prepared for every possible scenario, but volatility is inevitable. After the CPI announcement, the first 30 minutes will be determined not by direction, but by the reaction speed.
Therefore, I prefer the strategy of "not trading on the first candle, but on the second reaction."
)#CPIDataIncoming #CPIDataIncoming