#美国政府停运 DOGE a warning signal has appeared on the hourly timeframe.

Just finished reviewing the chart and noticed several concerning technical details: the MACD has just completed a death cross, with the red histogram bars continuing to expand over the past two days, while the yellow-white lines are starting to move downward at a steady pace. The price is currently oscillating around $0.17819, repeatedly pulling back, but the resistance at $0.18877 has been tested three times without breaking through.

More notably, on the indicator level—the DIF line has already fallen below the DEA line, forming a standard death cross pattern, and the red bars are continuously expanding, indicating that the bearish force is accumulating. Although the RSI value is approaching the overbought zone, the trading volume shows that selling pressure is significantly greater than buying support. This kind of price-volume divergence is often a bad sign.

Recalling the pullback near $0.18 last month, many people chased the high and are now trapped. This scenario seems somewhat similar: macro-level regulatory rumors are brewing, micro-level reports suggest large addresses are transferring holdings, and the technical signals align with a death cross, creating triple pressure. Based on historical experience, the probability of a short-term decline is quite high.

If the price indeed moves downward, the first support level is around $0.178, where it has repeatedly found a floor before. If this level is broken, the next target could be near $0.155.

A few thoughts on trading strategies: for those already holding positions, consider gradually reducing exposure in the $0.185–$0.18877 range; if you are on the sidelines, don’t rush to buy at the current price—waiting for a pullback below $0.16 to add gradually would be more prudent. For risk management, it’s recommended to set a stop-loss below $0.177 to leave yourself an exit route.

Interestingly, I checked on-chain data and found that some large addresses have been quietly increasing their holdings recently. Could this indicate a rebound opportunity after the pullback? The market often behaves this way—while there’s panic on the surface, some are secretly positioning for a reversal.

In summary, don’t act impulsively at this stage. The technical signals are clear—wait and observe carefully before taking action. The market always offers opportunities, but your capital is only one.