In the short term (1-3 days), due to the market maker's holdings cost (2700-2800 USD) + oversold technical correction + a small amount of compliance funds buying the dips, Ethereum will experience a stronger rebound.

The rebound height is expected to reach 2900-3000 USD, close to the market maker's long position cost line.
The short-term capital inflow brought about by the effect of the liquidity pool will amplify the Rebound strength, making it hard to return below 2700 dollars.
Key variables for the medium term (1-2 weeks): Federal Reserve interest rate cut landing + signals of "substantial capital inflow" for compliance (such as ETF funds turning from outflow to inflow). If the interest rate cut meets expectations + compliant funds begin to net inflow.
Ethereum will break through the $3050 resistance level, using the "capital pool effect" to attack the $3200-$3500 (market maker profit target range).
If the interest rate cut is hawkish, but compliance capital has not flowed out on a large scale.
Ethereum will fluctuate in the range of $2800-3000, market makers will rely on the cost line to accumulate positions, and there will not be a deep fall.
In the long term (1-3 months), due to the long-term inflow of compliance capital + the continuous strengthening of the liquidity pool effect + the strong support of market maker holdings cost, Ethereum's "bottom range" will move up to $2500-2800, making it difficult to explore below $2000-2200 again. If the ETH spot ETF is approved in Q1 2025, compliance capital will lead to explosive inflows, and Ethereum is expected to reach $5000-6500.