#ETH走势分析 I met Old Zhang three years ago. Back then, he lived in a handshake building in an urban village, riding his electric bike to deliver food late into the night, pouring all his earnings into plugging the holes from crypto trading losses. Last month, I ran into him by chance. The guy pulled out his phone to show me his account—a seven-figure balance, real money.

After almost ten years in this space, I’ve seen all sorts of get-rich-quick legends and total wipeouts. Cases like Old Zhang’s actually made me realize something: the market never rewards clever tricks; instead, it favors those who stubbornly stick to disciplined “dumb hard work.”

His approach boils down to three simple moves.

**First Move: Don’t blindly watch the charts, focus on specific times**

When Old Zhang first got into crypto, he was like most people—staring at the charts 24/7, chasing pumps, panic selling on dumps. He followed so-called “trading gurus” for half a year, blew all his capital, and ended up deep in debt.

Later, he spent two months reviewing historical data and discovered a pattern: there are only two time windows in a day worth trading.

From 3pm to 5pm, when institutional money from Europe enters the market, the price action is more reliable and there are fewer fake breakouts. He does his homework ahead of time and only acts when his signals appear. Just riding the moves during this window last year earned him over a 15% profit.

The other key time is the early morning of the first Friday each month—Nonfarm Payrolls data release. He doesn’t rush in on the first wave. Instead, he waits 15 minutes after the data drops, and only enters with a light position once the direction is clear and confirmed. During the November NFP last year, he made as much in one half-sized position as he would in three months of food delivery.

**Second Move: Fewer indicators, as long as they work**

A lot of people clutter their trading screens with tons of indicators—it looks professional but is actually a mess. Old Zhang’s screen is super clean; he only watches three things:

Bollinger Bands hit the lower band three times, with increasing volume each time—that’s a bottoming signal.

RSI climbs from below 30 to above 50—the trend is turning.

OBV (On-Balance Volume) indicator—if price isn’t moving but OBV is quietly rising, it means funds are stealthily building positions.

When all three signals flash at the same time, it’s basically a great entry point. He caught a 30% move last year using this setup.

**Third Move: Only money in your pocket counts as real profit**

“Most people don’t get killed by crashes—they get killed by either taking profits too early or getting greedy and giving it all back.” Old Zhang puts it well.

His approach is simple: once up 50%, he cashes out half to lock in profits. For the rest, he sets a trailing stop using the latest low as a safety cushion—if it doesn’t break that, he stays in.

The benefit is peace of mind. Even if there’s a pullback later, he just makes a bit less—his principal and locked-in profits are untouched. He uses market profits to chase bigger gains, and if he loses, it doesn’t hurt.

Old Zhang still delivers food every day, but only because he can’t sit still. That seven-figure account was built bit by bit by grinding out those three “dumb” moves. The market is full of smart people, but it’s those who stick to disciplined hard work who are the real winners.