#美联储重启降息步伐 How will $BTC move this month? Let me show you a torn scenario—

Starting next week, the Fed is likely to start cutting rates(, and the market is betting on it with a probability soaring above 85%). The dollar liquidity tap is opening, which in theory should be good news for risk assets. But looking over at Japan, their central bank is actually preparing to raise rates, directly putting an end to the global "negative interest rate era." Easing on one side and tightening on the other—this is quite a split move.

Here's the issue: the global financial markets are entering a "push and pull" mode. Rate cuts are indeed positive, but will the funds really flow into crypto? Not necessarily. Whether risk appetite can pick up is still a question mark, and any rebound may just be so-so.

$BTC's short-term trend will likely be quite tangled. My advice? Manage your positions well—don’t go all in.

One more thing that needs to be said upfront—the bull market logic should have been thrown out a long time ago; now it’s time to think with a bear market mindset.