#ETH走势分析 I've been in this space since 2017, so it's been a full 8 years now. I started with just 50,000 yuan as my initial capital, and now I guess you could say I've achieved financial freedom. After going through three bull and bear cycles, I've basically stepped on all the possible landmines—$XRP , back then, I also suffered heavy losses. But over time, I’ve developed a strategy that works pretty steadily for me.

Here’s my logic for picking coins these days: first, I take the top-performing coins from the gainers list over the past 11 days and put them into a pool, but there’s a caveat—if a coin has dropped for more than 3 consecutive days, I pass on it right away, since that likely means the main players are already selling. Next, I switch to the monthly chart and check the MACD, only keeping the ones in a golden cross state; this step filters out a lot of noise.

For actual buy points, I watch the daily chart and focus on just one line—the 60-day moving average. If the price pulls back to around that level and there’s a surge in volume with a bullish candlestick, that’s basically my signal to go in heavy. This spot often acts as short-term support, so the cost of being wrong is relatively manageable.

Once I’m in, my approach is pretty mechanical. If it goes up 30%, I’ll sell a third to lock in some profit; if it goes up 50%, I’ll sell another third—by then, my principal is basically back. The last third, I’ll let it ride and see how far it can go. But there’s one iron rule: if the price drops below the 60-day moving average the day after I buy, no matter what the reason is, I liquidate everything.

This stop-loss discipline has saved me many times. Even though the double filter of monthly and daily charts makes breakdowns pretty rare, you never know what the market will throw at you. In this space, protecting your principal is a thousand times more important than making a quick buck. Even if you miss out on further gains, it’s fine—you can always get back in next time it meets your criteria.

At the end of the day, other people’s experience can only serve as inspiration; what really allows you to make steady profits is the system you develop yourself and validate in the real market. You can reference other methodologies, but the discipline to execute has to come from within.